FLEX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.1% | +3.2% | 9.3% | 67% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 2.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +0.7% | 2.5% | 53% |
| 5-day | +5.8% | +5.0% | 10.8% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +8.9% | -11.7% | -9.1% | +18.3% | +11.9% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +6.1% | +24.3% | +39.7% | +6.7% | +12.8% |
| 2026-02-04 beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +10.5% | -4.7% | -10.9% | +10.2% | +1.8% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.3% | -7.4% | +2.9% | -1.3% | -10.6% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.3% | -6.1% | -7.7% | +0.4% | +4.5% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.69 | 0.73 | +5.2% | +0.1% | +3.2% | +10.8% | +13.5% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.63 | 0.77 | +21.8% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +4.0% | -8.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.64 | +14.3% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +8.9% | +8.9% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +25.2% | +7.1% | +6.9% | +1.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +2.9% | -5.9% | -8.1% | +8.4% | +25.8% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +15.7% | +4.7% | +5.5% | +2.0% | +19.7% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.68 | +17.2% | +9.8% | +11.0% | -1.6% | +3.5% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +12.4% | +0.8% | -4.5% | -1.1% | -3.2% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +11.1% | +2.6% | +8.8% | +5.2% | +16.0% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.2% | -0.2% | -1.8% | +1.7% | -3.5% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.51 | 0.63 | +22.5% | +5.8% | +3.0% | +0.3% | +8.0% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.48 | 0.54 | +12.4% | +2.6% | +5.2% | +3.3% | +10.6% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +16.4% | +0.1% | -2.9% | -8.9% | +0.9% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +19.8% | +5.5% | -0.4% | +11.3% | +5.1% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +18.8% | -6.9% | -6.2% | +4.4% | +2.3% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +22.5% | +2.6% | +3.2% | +0.3% | +7.0% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.49 | +36.8% | +3.6% | +4.0% | -5.3% | +7.3% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.37 | 0.49 | +32.6% | +15.1% | +6.8% | +2.3% | +2.9% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.36 | +32.8% | +9.7% | +3.4% | +9.3% | +18.1% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +32.4% | +2.3% | -1.4% | +1.5% | -5.5% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +7.5% | +7.4% | +7.6% | -7.2% | +18.8% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +12.6% | +8.2% | +1.6% | +0.5% | -13.5% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.31 | 0.31 | +1.4% | +1.1% | +11.7% | +5.5% | +3.7% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.27 | 0.27 | +1.2% | +6.6% | +13.3% | -4.6% | -15.7% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.27 | 0.27 | +1.4% | +4.0% | +3.5% | -7.2% | -21.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.