FLS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.0% | +1.5% | 11.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +3.3% | 14.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.86 | 0.95 | +10.4% | +4.9% | +7.7% | +4.4% | +6.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.2% | -9.1% | -12.6% | -2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.94 | 1.11 | +18.4% | -2.5% | +8.2% | +4.9% | -7.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.80 | 0.90 | +13.2% | +9.2% | +30.9% | +1.4% | +3.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.78 | 0.91 | +16.8% | +6.3% | +2.4% | -3.5% | -2.4% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.0% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +3.2% | +10.3% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | 0.77 | 0.70 | -9.0% | -8.6% | -6.5% | -6.5% | -12.8% |
| 2024-10-28 miss | 0.67 | 0.62 | -6.8% | -2.7% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +12.2% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.63 | 0.73 | +15.7% | +1.7% | -3.3% | -8.7% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.47 | 0.58 | +23.4% | +2.6% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +4.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.