FLS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.8% | 8.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.1% | 1.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +3.0% | 11.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.86 | 0.95 | +10.4% | +4.9% | +7.7% | +4.4% | +6.7% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.2% | -9.1% | -12.6% | -2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.94 | 1.11 | +18.4% | -2.5% | +8.2% | +4.9% | -7.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.80 | 0.90 | +13.2% | +9.2% | +30.9% | +1.4% | +3.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.78 | 0.91 | +16.8% | +6.3% | +2.4% | -3.5% | -2.4% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +3.0% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +3.2% | +10.3% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | 0.77 | 0.70 | -9.0% | -8.6% | -6.5% | -6.5% | -12.8% |
| 2024-10-28 miss | 0.67 | 0.62 | -6.8% | -2.7% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +12.2% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | 0.63 | 0.73 | +15.7% | +1.7% | -3.3% | -8.7% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | 0.47 | 0.58 | +23.4% | +2.6% | -0.1% | +2.7% | +4.1% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 0.60 | 0.68 | +13.1% | +2.4% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +8.0% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +17.5% | +2.0% | +4.1% | +0.9% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.40 | 0.52 | +28.9% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +0.3% | +1.3% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 0.26 | 0.40 | +56.4% | +14.6% | +3.6% | +2.8% | -5.8% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +17.6% | -0.3% | -2.0% | +1.7% | -8.1% |
| 2022-10-31 miss | 0.24 | 0.09 | -62.7% | -6.2% | -2.9% | +10.1% | +13.0% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +17.5% | +10.8% | +4.3% | +3.5% | -4.0% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 0.21 | 0.07 | -66.6% | -8.4% | -4.6% | -8.4% | -0.2% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -7.0% | -4.7% | -6.0% | +5.9% | +18.1% |
| 2021-10-27 miss | 0.40 | 0.29 | -27.3% | -7.0% | -8.6% | +0.9% | -6.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.