FMAO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +1.3% | 4.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 2.8% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.9% | -2.1% | 3.1% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | -1.3% | 7.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.67 | 0.86 | +27.7% | +1.2% | +10.4% | +1.0% | -1.8% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +5.3% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.4% | +1.4% | +7.6% | -9.6% | -16.8% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +7.9% | -0.2% | -2.5% | -0.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +11.3% | +5.5% | +1.3% | -8.5% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.51 | +20.5% | +0.6% | +8.0% | -1.1% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.48 | 0.61 | +26.4% | +2.7% | +1.3% | -4.6% | -10.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.8% | -0.3% | -1.3% | +13.6% | +22.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +17.5% | -5.7% | -2.6% | -4.5% | +3.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +12.5% | -0.1% | +3.5% | +1.7% | -0.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.