FMAO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.0% | 3.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.0% | 3.1% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 2.5% | 38% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.4% | 4.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 0.67 | 0.86 | +27.7% | +1.2% | +10.4% | +1.0% | -1.8% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 0.68 | 0.72 | +5.3% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.4% | +1.4% | +7.6% | -9.6% | -16.8% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +7.9% | -0.2% | -2.5% | -0.6% | +5.1% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 0.50 | 0.56 | +11.3% | +5.5% | +1.3% | -8.5% | +2.1% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.51 | +20.5% | +0.6% | +8.0% | -1.1% | -3.7% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.48 | 0.61 | +26.4% | +2.7% | +1.3% | -4.6% | -10.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.8% | -0.3% | -1.3% | +13.6% | +22.5% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +17.5% | -5.7% | -2.6% | -4.5% | +3.6% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +12.5% | -0.1% | +3.5% | +1.7% | -0.8% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.32 | 0.41 | +30.2% | +3.0% | +7.4% | -4.8% | -7.9% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -5.4% | -0.1% | -4.3% | +7.8% | +8.8% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.8% | +0.3% | -6.0% | -6.9% | -21.0% |
| 2023-04-19 miss | 0.54 | 0.48 | -11.1% | +5.5% | +3.2% | -3.5% | -12.9% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | 0.67 | 0.65 | -3.5% | -0.2% | -0.2% | -7.6% | -23.1% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 0.72 | 0.68 | -4.9% | -5.7% | -10.7% | +13.0% | +12.8% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.6% | +3.4% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 2022-04-20 beat | 0.57 | 0.62 | +9.4% | +0.4% | +7.2% | -9.8% | -7.9% |
| 2022-02-14 beat | 0.56 | 0.66 | +18.6% | +2.3% | +3.0% | +3.8% | +6.6% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 0.53 | 0.63 | +19.5% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +4.6% | +7.2% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +17.3% | -0.2% | +1.3% | +0.1% | +2.2% |
| 2021-04-21 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -2.9% | -2.9% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -7.4% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.37 | 0.48 | +29.7% | +1.3% | -1.7% | -3.5% | +16.4% |
| 2020-10-21 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -4.0% | -2.8% | +0.6% | -4.1% | +4.8% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.33 | 0.43 | +30.3% | -0.8% | +0.1% | -1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2020-04-24 | 0.37 | 0.37 | — | -3.0% | +1.9% | +3.9% | +2.1% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +12.5% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -0.5% | -24.1% |
| 2019-10-21 miss | 0.41 | 0.38 | -7.3% | +0.4% | +0.8% | -1.1% | +0.0% |
| 2019-07-19 miss | 0.45 | 0.42 | -6.7% | -0.8% | -1.3% | +2.0% | -10.3% |
| 2019-04-26 miss | 0.46 | 0.38 | -17.4% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +1.4% | -2.7% |
| 2019-02-13 miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -2.4% | -0.8% | +0.0% | +5.0% | -5.1% |
| 2018-10-18 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.0% | +2.2% | +1.5% | -0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2018-07-18 beat | 0.39 | 0.44 | +12.8% | -0.5% | +2.8% | +1.4% | -4.6% |
| 2018-04-19 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.9% | +4.5% | -1.3% | +11.5% | +3.0% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +5.7% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +2.5% | -0.7% |
| 2017-10-18 beat | 0.35 | 0.35 | +1.4% | +2.3% | -4.0% | +4.4% | -3.6% |
| 2017-07-19 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.0% | -6.7% |
| 2017-04-19 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.7% | +0.6% | -1.7% | +3.5% | +32.0% |
| 2017-02-08 beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +15.0% | +0.7% | +2.9% | +8.7% | +20.0% |
| 2016-10-19 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +10.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.7% |
| 2016-07-20 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +12.1% | +0.0% | -5.0% | +5.3% | +3.1% |
| 2016-04-20 | 0.27 | 0.27 | — | +0.0% | +1.6% | -3.3% | -2.0% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.7% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2015-10-28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | — | -2.2% | -3.2% | +0.6% | +1.9% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +7.7% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -1.7% |
| 2015-04-29 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -1.9% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +0.0% | +3.1% |
| 2015-02-25 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +5.6% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +2.6% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +5.9% | +2.5% | +2.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2014-07-28 beat | 0.23 | 0.28 | +19.6% | +0.6% | +4.6% | -2.9% | -1.9% |
| 2014-04-28 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -5.0% | -6.9% |
| 2014-02-26 beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +19.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -2.8% | +1.1% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +2.3% | +0.0% | +1.2% | +3.5% | -2.8% |
| 2013-07-31 beat | 0.20 | 0.27 | +35.9% | -1.1% | -1.1% | +1.1% | -2.3% |
| 2013-04-26 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -6.1% | -3.1% | -3.1% | -0.2% | +0.2% |
| 2013-02-25 beat | 0.24 | 0.27 | +12.5% | +0.0% | -1.9% | +3.3% | +4.8% |
| 2012-10-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +4.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -4.3% |
| 2012-08-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +20.0% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.3% | +1.5% |
| 2012-04-30 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +4.3% | +0.9% |
| 2012-02-24 beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +34.8% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +11.6% | +4.9% |
| 2011-11-04 beat | 0.17 | 0.22 | +33.3% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -1.7% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.