FMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.6% | -0.9% | 15.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -1.9% | 3.5% | 25% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.9% | 3.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -6.8% | -6.0% | 15.8% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +17.0% | +4.9% | +18.2% | -10.8% | -4.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -0.38 | -0.23 | +39.6% | +10.2% | +5.0% | -11.1% | -13.3% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.2% | -11.2% | -19.5% | +6.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.1% | -24.7% | -46.5% | -16.5% | -10.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.2% | +2.8% | -5.5% | -6.5% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +94.7% | -3.2% | -8.3% | -4.8% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.60 | 1.79 | +11.6% | -33.5% | -33.5% | +2.1% | +14.9% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.53 | 0.69 | +30.3% | +5.5% | +10.7% | -8.5% | -11.3% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.55 | 0.63 | +14.2% | +8.6% | +10.2% | -4.5% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.9% | +2.0% | +9.5% | -0.7% | -12.1% |
| 2024-02-05 miss | 1.08 | 1.07 | -0.8% | -13.8% | -11.5% | -3.7% | +18.6% |
| 2023-10-30 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -1.3% | -3.1% | -8.2% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.61 | 0.50 | -18.0% | -1.4% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -5.4% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 1.74 | 1.77 | +1.5% | -4.0% | -5.9% | -5.1% | -10.4% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 2.34 | 2.37 | +1.5% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +0.4% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.11 | 1.23 | +10.3% | +2.7% | +0.2% | +5.0% | +12.1% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.89 | 1.93 | +2.4% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +0.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 1.71 | 1.88 | +10.3% | -2.0% | -6.3% | -8.8% | +1.7% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.01 | 2.16 | +7.5% | +2.0% | +5.6% | +1.9% | +5.0% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.32 | 1.43 | +8.3% | +4.0% | +12.6% | +0.6% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.