FMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -0.4% | 9.8% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.6% | 53% |
| 5-day | -1.4% | +0.2% | 10.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +17.0% | +4.9% | +18.2% | -10.8% | -4.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -0.38 | -0.23 | +39.6% | +10.2% | +5.0% | -11.1% | -13.3% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.2% | -11.2% | -19.5% | +6.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.1% | -24.7% | -46.5% | -16.5% | -10.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.2% | +2.8% | -5.5% | -6.5% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +94.7% | -3.2% | -8.3% | -4.8% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.60 | 1.79 | +11.6% | -33.5% | -33.5% | +2.1% | +14.9% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.53 | 0.69 | +30.3% | +5.5% | +10.7% | -8.5% | -11.3% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.55 | 0.63 | +14.2% | +8.6% | +10.2% | -4.5% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.9% | +2.0% | +9.5% | -0.7% | -12.1% |
| 2024-02-05 miss | 1.08 | 1.07 | -0.8% | -13.8% | -11.5% | -3.7% | +18.6% |
| 2023-10-30 miss | 0.45 | 0.44 | -1.3% | -3.1% | -8.2% | +0.3% | +0.9% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.61 | 0.50 | -18.0% | -1.4% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -5.4% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 1.74 | 1.77 | +1.5% | -4.0% | -5.9% | -5.1% | -10.4% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 2.34 | 2.37 | +1.5% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +0.4% | -6.2% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.11 | 1.23 | +10.3% | +2.7% | +0.2% | +5.0% | +12.1% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.89 | 1.93 | +2.4% | -0.1% | +1.4% | +0.2% | -2.0% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 1.71 | 1.88 | +10.3% | -2.0% | -6.3% | -8.8% | +1.7% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.01 | 2.16 | +7.5% | +2.0% | +5.6% | +1.9% | +5.0% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.32 | 1.43 | +8.3% | +4.0% | +12.6% | +0.6% | -1.4% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.78 | 1.81 | +1.9% | -1.3% | -7.6% | -2.5% | -2.0% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.51 | 1.53 | +1.4% | -6.9% | -3.6% | -1.0% | +0.9% |
| 2021-02-09 miss | 1.46 | 1.42 | -2.7% | -3.7% | -7.3% | -2.9% | +2.0% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 1.11 | 1.22 | +9.7% | +0.3% | -2.2% | +4.5% | +13.1% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 1.66 | 1.72 | +3.8% | +1.6% | -0.5% | +2.3% | +2.3% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 1.81 | 1.84 | +1.7% | +0.5% | +2.8% | -3.5% | +12.2% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 1.54 | 1.76 | +14.5% | +1.6% | +6.0% | -2.3% | -26.6% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.81 | 0.94 | +16.5% | +4.3% | +7.1% | +7.2% | +7.7% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 1.65 | 1.66 | +0.9% | -0.4% | +1.9% | -1.8% | -1.0% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | 1.62 | 1.72 | +6.0% | +2.2% | +3.0% | -4.3% | +1.3% |
| 2019-02-11 beat | 1.47 | 1.69 | +15.2% | -4.9% | -3.0% | +6.3% | +8.2% |
| 2018-11-05 beat | 0.92 | 0.98 | +6.3% | +1.2% | +3.9% | -2.9% | -4.2% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 1.72 | 1.78 | +3.5% | -3.7% | -2.0% | +4.3% | -1.3% |
| 2018-05-02 beat | 1.63 | 1.84 | +12.9% | +4.5% | +4.2% | +4.4% | +4.5% |
| 2018-02-12 beat | 1.05 | 1.10 | +4.9% | +0.9% | -3.9% | +0.3% | -1.0% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.70 | +11.0% | +0.6% | +2.8% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.3% | +5.5% | +8.4% | +0.9% | +2.8% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.57 | 0.64 | +13.3% | -0.2% | -3.3% | +3.9% | +7.3% |
| 2017-02-06 miss | 0.88 | 0.88 | -0.4% | -3.9% | -6.0% | +1.8% | +3.2% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.59 | 0.67 | +13.5% | +4.9% | +10.5% | +6.2% | +11.7% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +1.3% | -0.3% | +3.3% | -0.7% | -3.1% |
| 2016-05-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.58 | +8.6% | +0.0% | +8.5% | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2016-02-10 beat | 0.63 | 0.77 | +21.7% | -2.0% | -2.0% | +7.2% | +19.5% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +10.5% | -1.2% | +6.0% | +4.3% | +8.0% |
| 2015-08-05 miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -1.0% | -0.3% | +1.2% | -5.3% | -15.5% |
| 2015-05-11 miss | 0.70 | 0.62 | -11.3% | -2.6% | -0.4% | -4.9% | -8.5% |
| 2015-02-04 beat | 1.00 | 1.12 | +12.3% | -3.0% | +5.4% | +1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2014-10-29 miss | 0.96 | 0.95 | -1.1% | -3.4% | +1.1% | -1.5% | -7.5% |
| 2014-07-30 miss | 1.02 | 1.01 | -0.9% | -0.1% | -2.7% | -1.6% | +1.4% |
| 2014-05-06 beat | 0.95 | 0.95 | +0.5% | +0.2% | -3.6% | -0.2% | +7.0% |
| 2014-02-05 beat | 0.94 | 1.05 | +11.4% | -0.3% | +3.0% | +0.8% | +16.1% |
| 2013-10-28 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2013-07-29 beat | 0.94 | 0.94 | +0.2% | -0.1% | +3.0% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.10 | +3.2% | -6.8% | -3.8% | +5.9% | +7.4% |
| 2013-02-06 beat | 0.81 | 0.81 | +0.2% | -0.2% | -3.4% | -1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2012-10-29 beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.8% | -0.1% | +2.1% | -3.3% | -1.4% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +2.9% | +1.1% | -3.3% | +3.4% | +1.8% |
| 2012-04-30 beat | 0.92 | 0.97 | +5.1% | -2.2% | -0.9% | -3.5% | -6.9% |
| 2012-02-08 beat | 0.68 | 0.79 | +15.4% | -0.1% | -2.4% | +2.6% | +5.9% |
| 2011-10-31 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.4% | -4.2% | -0.7% | +7.8% | +6.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.