FMC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -6.0% | -0.2% | 21.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -2.1% | -2.5% | 4.3% | 10% |
| Day 3 | -1.6% | -2.3% | 3.4% | 20% |
| 5-day | -11.2% | -9.1% | 19.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +17.0% | +4.9% | +18.2% | -10.8% | -4.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | -0.38 | -0.23 | +39.6% | +10.2% | +5.0% | -11.1% | -13.3% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 1.20 | 1.20 | -0.2% | -11.2% | -19.5% | +6.3% | +3.3% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.1% | -24.7% | -46.5% | -16.5% | -10.9% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.62 | 0.69 | +11.2% | +2.8% | -5.5% | -6.5% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.09 | 0.18 | +94.7% | -3.2% | -8.3% | -4.8% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.60 | 1.79 | +11.6% | -33.5% | -33.5% | +2.1% | +14.9% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.53 | 0.69 | +30.3% | +5.5% | +10.7% | -8.5% | -11.3% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.55 | 0.63 | +14.2% | +8.6% | +10.2% | -4.5% | +0.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.9% | +2.0% | +9.5% | -0.7% | -12.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.