FN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -4.8% | 13.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.9% | 3.7% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.7% | 4.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.6% | +1.2% | 14.6% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 beat | 3.81 | 4.10 | +7.5% | -14.2% | -19.4% | -10.6% | — |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 3.56 | 3.72 | +4.4% | -10.4% | -8.0% | -3.9% | +8.2% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 3.25 | 3.36 | +3.4% | -9.5% | -10.2% | +4.0% | +21.4% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 2.82 | 2.92 | +3.6% | +3.8% | +3.7% | -2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-18 beat | 2.63 | 2.65 | +0.8% | -11.7% | -12.8% | +15.9% | +32.5% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 2.47 | 2.52 | +1.9% | -11.7% | -7.3% | +11.0% | +15.8% |
| 2025-02-03 beat | 2.49 | 2.61 | +4.7% | -8.8% | -8.2% | +0.0% | -11.3% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 2.38 | 2.39 | +0.5% | -9.1% | -3.9% | +12.4% | +2.0% |
| 2024-08-19 beat | 2.24 | 2.41 | +7.5% | +13.2% | +15.7% | -8.1% | -12.6% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 2.11 | 2.39 | +13.3% | +11.1% | +10.8% | +11.0% | +12.9% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 2.03 | 2.08 | +2.5% | -17.8% | -18.4% | +6.6% | +20.8% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 1.86 | 2.00 | +7.5% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +1.7% | -3.7% |
| 2023-08-21 beat | 1.80 | 1.86 | +3.2% | +31.7% | +31.6% | +2.5% | -1.6% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 1.87 | 1.94 | +3.5% | -2.5% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +21.0% |
| 2023-02-06 beat | 1.87 | 1.90 | +1.5% | +1.7% | -7.7% | +3.7% | -1.1% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 1.74 | 1.97 | +13.5% | +3.2% | +9.5% | +3.9% | +7.4% |
| 2022-08-15 beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +8.9% | +12.7% | +14.9% | -6.7% | -13.2% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 1.52 | 1.50 | -1.5% | -6.6% | -5.8% | -7.2% | -5.8% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 1.46 | 1.50 | +2.8% | -5.3% | -10.2% | -0.8% | -2.8% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 1.33 | 1.45 | +9.2% | +17.0% | +13.2% | +7.2% | +5.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.