FN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +0.8% | 10.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +0.5% | 5.1% | 58% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.4% | 3.2% | 45% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +1.9% | 11.1% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 beat | 3.81 | 4.10 | +7.5% | -14.2% | -19.4% | -10.6% | — |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 3.56 | 3.72 | +4.4% | -10.4% | -8.0% | -3.9% | +8.2% |
| 2026-02-02 beat | 3.25 | 3.36 | +3.4% | -9.5% | -10.2% | +4.0% | +21.4% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 2.82 | 2.92 | +3.6% | +3.8% | +3.7% | -2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2025-08-18 beat | 2.63 | 2.65 | +0.8% | -11.7% | -12.8% | +15.9% | +32.5% |
| 2025-05-05 beat | 2.47 | 2.52 | +1.9% | -11.7% | -7.3% | +11.0% | +15.8% |
| 2025-02-03 beat | 2.49 | 2.61 | +4.7% | -8.8% | -8.2% | +0.0% | -11.3% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 2.38 | 2.39 | +0.5% | -9.1% | -3.9% | +12.4% | +2.0% |
| 2024-08-19 beat | 2.24 | 2.41 | +7.5% | +13.2% | +15.7% | -8.1% | -12.6% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | 2.11 | 2.39 | +13.3% | +11.1% | +10.8% | +11.0% | +12.9% |
| 2024-02-05 beat | 2.03 | 2.08 | +2.5% | -17.8% | -18.4% | +6.6% | +20.8% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 1.86 | 2.00 | +7.5% | +1.0% | +6.1% | +1.7% | -3.7% |
| 2023-08-21 beat | 1.80 | 1.86 | +3.2% | +31.7% | +31.6% | +2.5% | -1.6% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 1.87 | 1.94 | +3.5% | -2.5% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +21.0% |
| 2023-02-06 beat | 1.87 | 1.90 | +1.5% | +1.7% | -7.7% | +3.7% | -1.1% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 1.74 | 1.97 | +13.5% | +3.2% | +9.5% | +3.9% | +7.4% |
| 2022-08-15 beat | 1.54 | 1.68 | +8.9% | +12.7% | +14.9% | -6.7% | -13.2% |
| 2022-05-02 miss | 1.52 | 1.50 | -1.5% | -6.6% | -5.8% | -7.2% | -5.8% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | 1.46 | 1.50 | +2.8% | -5.3% | -10.2% | -0.8% | -2.8% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 1.33 | 1.45 | +9.2% | +17.0% | +13.2% | +7.2% | +5.8% |
| 2021-08-16 beat | 1.22 | 1.31 | +7.5% | +5.9% | +7.8% | +3.5% | +10.6% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 1.14 | 1.21 | +5.7% | -4.2% | -1.4% | -3.4% | +8.1% |
| 2021-02-01 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.5% | +8.9% | +3.7% | +5.3% | +1.6% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.98 | 1.05 | +7.5% | +5.1% | +4.1% | +5.2% | +7.7% |
| 2020-08-17 beat | 0.87 | 0.96 | +10.4% | -5.0% | -2.4% | -1.9% | -15.1% |
| 2020-05-04 miss | 0.94 | 0.92 | -1.6% | +10.0% | -1.2% | +2.4% | +12.5% |
| 2020-02-03 beat | 0.93 | 1.00 | +7.8% | +2.3% | +6.3% | -1.0% | -10.6% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +4.9% | +0.5% | -5.0% | +2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2019-08-19 beat | 0.94 | 1.00 | +6.8% | -16.1% | -17.7% | +4.2% | +14.3% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | 0.89 | 0.92 | +3.6% | +3.3% | -0.6% | -4.0% | -22.6% |
| 2019-02-04 beat | 0.92 | 0.97 | +5.4% | +0.2% | -8.6% | +2.3% | +2.8% |
| 2018-11-05 beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +14.1% | +10.0% | +10.6% | -0.7% | -4.1% |
| 2018-08-20 beat | 0.75 | 0.81 | +8.4% | +8.9% | +6.2% | +2.2% | -2.1% |
| 2018-05-07 beat | 0.71 | 0.71 | +0.3% | +9.2% | +7.6% | +0.8% | +4.1% |
| 2018-02-05 beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.1% | +10.9% | +24.7% | -4.5% | +9.4% |
| 2017-11-06 miss | 0.80 | 0.75 | -5.9% | -9.9% | -9.0% | +5.9% | +5.9% |
| 2017-08-21 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.2% | -5.3% | -7.2% | +4.4% | -3.1% |
| 2017-05-08 miss | 0.88 | 0.80 | -9.1% | +11.7% | +8.3% | -0.3% | +6.5% |
| 2017-02-06 beat | 0.79 | 0.91 | +15.7% | +5.6% | +2.2% | +11.5% | -1.3% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | 0.71 | 0.80 | +12.2% | +7.8% | +3.9% | +4.1% | +3.0% |
| 2016-08-15 beat | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.6% | +6.3% | -5.9% | +0.5% | +7.0% |
| 2016-05-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.56 | +5.3% | +9.0% | +11.5% | -5.1% | +0.4% |
| 2016-02-01 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.7% | +12.4% | +11.7% | +1.4% | -1.7% |
| 2015-11-02 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +7.1% | +3.8% | +12.4% | -5.0% | -2.3% |
| 2015-08-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.9% | +9.6% | +7.2% | -7.1% | -6.0% |
| 2015-05-04 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +3.3% | +3.4% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2015-02-02 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.1% | +8.4% | +2.2% | +0.2% | +8.3% |
| 2014-11-03 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +1.2% | -3.1% | -4.1% | +0.9% | -1.5% |
| 2014-10-16 beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.7% | +17.2% | +8.5% | +3.8% | +4.5% |
| 2014-05-05 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.2% | -14.5% | -13.9% | +2.7% | +1.8% |
| 2014-02-03 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +12.8% | -5.0% | -7.7% | +5.1% | +18.6% |
| 2013-11-04 beat | 0.32 | 0.40 | +23.6% | +0.1% | +2.5% | +11.2% | +14.7% |
| 2013-08-12 beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +23.8% | +7.8% | +2.9% | -1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2013-04-29 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +6.0% | -1.2% | -1.3% | +4.1% | +7.1% |
| 2013-02-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +7.1% | +2.4% | +9.6% | +0.3% | +5.6% |
| 2012-11-05 beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +14.7% | +0.1% | +2.2% | +23.7% | +24.1% |
| 2012-08-20 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +17.4% | +2.6% | -4.3% | -5.5% | -4.8% |
| 2012-05-07 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +19.1% | -5.1% | -8.1% | -5.0% | -8.5% |
| 2012-02-06 beat | -0.42 | 0.18 | +142.6% | +5.3% | +7.0% | +0.7% | -13.5% |
| 2011-11-07 beat | 0.42 | 0.45 | +6.5% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -0.1% | +3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.