FNMA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -0.9% | 2.4% | 35% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.3% | 3.5% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 3.8% | 30% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -3.4% | 11.9% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | — | 0.03 | — | +0.0% | -2.5% | -7.7% | +4.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | +0.4% | +7.3% | -7.9% |
| 2026-02-11 | — | — | — | +0.1% | +0.5% | -4.1% | -26.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | — | — | — | +0.5% | -4.5% | +1.9% | -6.9% |
| 2025-07-30 | — | — | — | -0.4% | +0.2% | -5.4% | +31.0% |
| 2025-04-30 | — | — | — | -2.5% | -1.1% | +1.9% | +66.9% |
| 2025-02-14 | — | — | — | +1.2% | +5.3% | -3.9% | -20.3% |
| 2024-10-31 | — | — | — | +0.7% | -2.8% | +48.9% | +84.9% |
| 2024-07-30 | — | — | — | +0.8% | -1.5% | -10.0% | -7.7% |
| 2024-04-30 | — | — | — | +0.0% | -3.9% | -0.7% | +6.8% |
| 2024-02-15 | — | — | — | +0.0% | -0.8% | -3.1% | +29.5% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 0.60 | — | -100.0% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2022-07-29 | — | — | — | -1.7% | +1.7% | +1.7% | -5.0% |
| 2022-05-03 | — | — | — | -1.3% | -2.6% | -5.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-08-03 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | +1.6% | -7.9% | -21.3% |
| 2021-04-30 | — | — | — | +1.3% | +0.0% | -11.3% | -5.9% |
| 2021-02-12 | — | — | — | +0.0% | -1.0% | -2.1% | +0.5% |
| 2020-10-29 | — | — | — | -0.5% | +0.0% | -4.1% | +55.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | — | — | — | +0.5% | -3.5% | +7.7% | +13.8% |
| 2020-05-01 miss | 0.06 | — | -100.0% | -1.2% | -1.7% | +0.0% | +28.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.