FNMA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 2.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -0.4% | 6.5% | 38% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | -0.7% | 4.3% | 34% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | -2.6% | 16.2% | 38% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | — | 0.03 | — | +0.0% | -2.5% | -7.7% | +4.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | +0.4% | +7.3% | -7.9% |
| 2026-02-11 | — | — | — | +0.1% | +0.5% | -4.1% | -26.6% |
| 2025-10-29 | — | — | — | +0.5% | -4.5% | +1.9% | -6.9% |
| 2025-07-30 | — | — | — | -0.4% | +0.2% | -5.4% | +31.0% |
| 2025-04-30 | — | — | — | -2.5% | -1.1% | +1.9% | +66.9% |
| 2025-02-14 | — | — | — | +1.2% | +5.3% | -3.9% | -20.3% |
| 2024-10-31 | — | — | — | +0.7% | -2.8% | +48.9% | +84.9% |
| 2024-07-30 | — | — | — | +0.8% | -1.5% | -10.0% | -7.7% |
| 2024-04-30 | — | — | — | +0.0% | -3.9% | -0.7% | +6.8% |
| 2024-02-15 | — | — | — | +0.0% | -0.8% | -3.1% | +29.5% |
| 2023-10-31 miss | 0.60 | — | -100.0% | +0.0% | +2.7% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2022-07-29 | — | — | — | -1.7% | +1.7% | +1.7% | -5.0% |
| 2022-05-03 | — | — | — | -1.3% | -2.6% | -5.4% | +0.0% |
| 2021-08-03 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | +1.6% | -7.9% | -21.3% |
| 2021-04-30 | — | — | — | +1.3% | +0.0% | -11.3% | -5.9% |
| 2021-02-12 | — | — | — | +0.0% | -1.0% | -2.1% | +0.5% |
| 2020-10-29 | — | — | — | -0.5% | +0.0% | -4.1% | +55.4% |
| 2020-07-30 | — | — | — | +0.5% | -3.5% | +7.7% | +13.8% |
| 2020-05-01 miss | 0.06 | — | -100.0% | -1.2% | -1.7% | +0.0% | +28.4% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | — | 0.02 | +700.0% | +0.3% | +2.0% | -2.3% | -51.7% |
| 2019-10-31 | — | — | — | +1.6% | -3.1% | +0.6% | -14.3% |
| 2019-08-01 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.9% | -2.6% | +2.3% | +27.0% |
| 2019-05-01 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | -0.8% | +3.3% | +24.0% |
| 2019-02-14 | — | — | — | +0.8% | -2.3% | +8.9% | +4.6% |
| 2018-11-02 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | +0.7% | -4.3% | -11.6% |
| 2018-08-02 miss | 0.51 | — | -100.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +3.9% | +2.0% |
| 2018-02-14 beat | -0.01 | 0.58 | +5943.0% | +0.0% | -3.8% | -4.5% | -8.9% |
| 2017-02-17 | — | -0.08 | — | +0.7% | +0.0% | -32.5% | -32.5% |
| 2016-11-03 | — | 0.04 | — | +0.0% | -3.0% | +53.7% | +117.7% |
| 2016-08-04 | — | 0.01 | — | +0.0% | -1.6% | -8.4% | -5.8% |
| 2016-05-05 | — | 0.04 | — | +0.6% | +2.9% | -1.1% | +33.3% |
| 2016-02-19 | — | -0.07 | — | +2.1% | +0.0% | +13.6% | +7.9% |
| 2015-11-05 | — | -0.04 | — | +0.0% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -7.1% |
| 2015-08-06 | — | 0.05 | — | -0.4% | +4.2% | -5.3% | -6.1% |
| 2015-05-07 | — | 0.01 | — | -1.0% | -1.0% | -8.0% | -15.6% |
| 2015-02-20 | — | -0.11 | — | -3.9% | -4.9% | -2.7% | -13.1% |
| 2014-11-06 | — | -0.02 | — | +0.4% | -3.4% | -4.0% | +7.1% |
| 2014-08-07 | — | -0.01 | — | +0.0% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -10.4% |
| 2014-05-08 | — | -0.06 | — | +2.7% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +10.6% |
| 2014-02-21 | — | -0.12 | — | -0.6% | -0.3% | +46.3% | +7.3% |
| 2013-11-07 | — | 0.01 | — | +1.3% | +4.8% | +27.0% | +3.7% |
| 2013-08-08 | — | -0.03 | — | +4.5% | +0.6% | -14.8% | -20.6% |
| 2013-05-09 | — | -0.11 | — | +11.1% | -3.3% | +46.0% | +119.5% |
| 2011-02-25 miss | 0.66 | -0.37 | -156.1% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -14.3% | -25.0% |
| 2010-11-05 miss | 0.28 | -0.61 | -317.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -20.5% |
| 2010-02-26 miss | -1.72 | -2.87 | -66.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +6.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.