FNV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 2.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 55% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.8% | 6.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | 1.97 | 1.81 | -8.3% | +0.2% | -2.0% | +6.4% | +12.7% |
| 2026-03-10 beat | 1.67 | 1.85 | +10.9% | +2.2% | +1.2% | -8.4% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.8% | -2.4% | -1.7% | +5.3% | +9.9% |
| 2025-08-11 beat | 1.12 | 1.24 | +10.7% | -2.5% | +2.4% | +0.2% | +13.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.4% | +2.2% | +2.4% | -5.9% | -2.7% |
| 2025-03-10 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +6.5% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +7.3% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.0% | -3.0% | -4.4% | -8.9% | -3.4% |
| 2024-08-13 miss | 0.80 | 0.75 | -6.7% | -5.8% | -6.4% | +6.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.8% | -0.7% | -0.8% | +5.4% | +2.7% |
| 2024-03-05 beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.3% | -0.2% | -2.7% | +6.1% | +11.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.6% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -10.7% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +6.1% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.82 | 0.79 | -3.4% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -6.1% |
| 2023-03-15 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.5% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +5.0% | +13.3% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.86 | 0.83 | -2.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +12.0% | +13.6% |
| 2022-08-10 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +3.7% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -0.4% | -3.4% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 0.96 | 0.93 | -3.5% | +1.1% | -2.8% | -10.9% | -5.0% |
| 2022-03-09 miss | 0.87 | 0.86 | -1.3% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +1.9% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +4.8% | -5.7% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.1% | -1.7% | +0.0% | -8.0% | -9.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.