FNV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 2.8% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 2.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +1.0% | 6.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | 1.97 | 1.81 | -8.3% | +0.2% | -2.0% | +6.4% | +12.7% |
| 2026-03-10 beat | 1.67 | 1.85 | +10.9% | +2.2% | +1.2% | -8.4% | -1.6% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.38 | 1.43 | +3.8% | -2.4% | -1.7% | +5.3% | +9.9% |
| 2025-08-11 beat | 1.12 | 1.24 | +10.7% | -2.5% | +2.4% | +0.2% | +13.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 1.00 | 1.07 | +7.4% | +2.2% | +2.4% | -5.9% | -2.7% |
| 2025-03-10 beat | 0.89 | 0.95 | +6.5% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +7.3% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.0% | -3.0% | -4.4% | -8.9% | -3.4% |
| 2024-08-13 miss | 0.80 | 0.75 | -6.7% | -5.8% | -6.4% | +6.3% | +7.0% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.8% | -0.7% | -0.8% | +5.4% | +2.7% |
| 2024-03-05 beat | 0.81 | 0.90 | +11.3% | -0.2% | -2.7% | +6.1% | +11.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.6% | +0.0% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -10.7% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +6.1% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.82 | 0.79 | -3.4% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +1.4% | -6.1% |
| 2023-03-15 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.5% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +5.0% | +13.3% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.86 | 0.83 | -2.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +12.0% | +13.6% |
| 2022-08-10 beat | 0.98 | 1.02 | +3.7% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -0.4% | -3.4% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 0.96 | 0.93 | -3.5% | +1.1% | -2.8% | -10.9% | -5.0% |
| 2022-03-09 miss | 0.87 | 0.86 | -1.3% | +0.8% | -0.2% | -2.4% | +3.7% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +1.9% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +4.8% | -5.7% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.1% | -1.7% | +0.0% | -8.0% | -9.5% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.6% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2021-03-10 beat | 0.69 | 0.85 | +22.8% | +1.8% | +5.0% | +3.9% | +12.9% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.80 | +30.6% | +2.9% | +7.1% | -9.4% | -10.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +1.2% | +2.1% | -2.6% | -5.3% | -6.8% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +4.8% | -0.1% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -11.1% |
| 2020-03-09 beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +20.2% | +0.1% | +0.4% | -2.1% | -2.6% |
| 2019-11-11 beat | 0.45 | 0.54 | +20.2% | +2.1% | +2.3% | +0.7% | -0.3% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 0.30 | 0.34 | +12.5% | -0.6% | +2.7% | -2.7% | -1.0% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.28 | 0.35 | +25.4% | +1.0% | +3.6% | +3.3% | +5.4% |
| 2019-03-19 miss | 0.26 | 0.24 | -5.9% | -2.1% | -2.1% | +2.3% | -4.0% |
| 2018-11-05 beat | 0.26 | 0.29 | +12.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -3.3% | +10.2% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.5% | -0.5% | +0.2% | -10.5% | -16.7% |
| 2018-05-09 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +19.8% | +1.3% | +0.0% | -4.6% | -5.2% |
| 2018-03-07 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +4.2% | -1.0% | -4.4% | +0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +18.1% | +2.2% | +6.1% | -1.3% | -7.5% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.0% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +4.9% | +12.3% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.22 | 0.25 | +11.9% | +2.5% | +2.6% | +5.6% | +5.3% |
| 2017-03-22 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +11.3% | +0.7% | +1.2% | +0.1% | +4.6% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | 0.25 | 0.30 | +22.1% | +1.1% | -0.1% | -10.2% | -12.5% |
| 2016-08-08 beat | 0.20 | 0.22 | +9.5% | +0.4% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -5.6% |
| 2016-05-04 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +15.7% | +1.5% | +5.1% | +0.1% | +1.8% |
| 2016-03-10 beat | 0.13 | 0.15 | +16.2% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +6.9% | +12.6% |
| 2015-11-11 miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -0.5% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -2.2% |
| 2015-08-10 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -5.8% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +0.9% | -7.2% |
| 2015-05-06 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -8.7% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +1.9% | -7.7% |
| 2015-03-25 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -7.8% | +2.4% | -1.0% | +0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +4.8% | -2.4% | -2.8% | +13.5% | +13.0% |
| 2014-08-06 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +3.5% | -0.4% | +3.2% | -3.3% | -10.3% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +5.8% | -0.3% | +1.6% | -1.0% | -6.2% |
| 2014-03-19 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -3.8% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -2.6% | -3.9% |
| 2013-11-05 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +18.4% | +0.6% | +3.7% | -3.9% | -17.1% |
| 2013-08-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.0% | +1.3% | +5.4% | +14.6% | +10.9% |
| 2013-05-08 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +3.0% | +2.2% | +2.6% | -8.1% | -5.3% |
| 2013-03-19 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -5.3% | -2.1% | -4.0% | +3.1% | -14.8% |
| 2012-11-06 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +14.3% | +3.2% | +4.7% | -1.7% | -5.0% |
| 2012-05-08 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.1% | -0.4% | -3.3% | -8.1% | +5.2% |
| 2012-03-21 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.1% | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| 2011-08-09 miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -6.2% | +0.9% | +4.6% | +0.0% | +6.6% |
| 2011-05-12 miss | 0.18 | 0.18 | -2.0% | -0.1% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +4.7% |
| 2011-03-24 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.