FOR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -2.4% | 7.0% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 3.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | -0.4% | 3.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.7% | -1.3% | 8.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 miss | 0.81 | 0.70 | -13.6% | -0.7% | -4.2% | +8.6% | +8.8% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.63 | 0.63 | -0.8% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +5.0% | -2.7% |
| 2026-01-20 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.3% | -6.9% | -5.0% | -3.8% | +14.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.70 | +35.0% | +11.3% | +7.3% | -9.9% | -7.8% |
| 2025-07-22 miss | 0.71 | 0.65 | -8.8% | +3.5% | +8.2% | +5.3% | +13.2% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 0.73 | 0.64 | -12.7% | -2.3% | -0.6% | +3.8% | +5.0% |
| 2025-01-21 miss | 0.70 | 0.32 | -54.3% | -6.7% | -9.4% | -1.1% | -5.1% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.31 | 1.60 | +22.2% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -5.4% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 0.88 | 0.76 | -14.0% | -16.4% | -13.2% | -0.8% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.72 | 0.89 | +22.9% | -1.1% | -8.4% | +0.0% | +11.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.