FOR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | -0.1% | 6.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 3.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +1.3% | +0.9% | 3.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +3.0% | 10.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 miss | 0.81 | 0.70 | -13.6% | -0.7% | -4.2% | +8.6% | +8.8% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 0.63 | 0.63 | -0.8% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +5.0% | -2.7% |
| 2026-01-20 miss | 0.30 | 0.30 | -0.3% | -6.9% | -5.0% | -3.8% | +14.0% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.70 | +35.0% | +11.3% | +7.3% | -9.9% | -7.8% |
| 2025-07-22 miss | 0.71 | 0.65 | -8.8% | +3.5% | +8.2% | +5.3% | +13.2% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 0.73 | 0.64 | -12.7% | -2.3% | -0.6% | +3.8% | +5.0% |
| 2025-01-21 miss | 0.70 | 0.32 | -54.3% | -6.7% | -9.4% | -1.1% | -5.1% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.31 | 1.60 | +22.2% | +2.4% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -5.4% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 0.88 | 0.76 | -14.0% | -16.4% | -13.2% | -0.8% | -6.2% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 0.72 | 0.89 | +22.9% | -1.1% | -8.4% | +0.0% | +11.7% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 0.50 | 0.76 | +51.4% | +11.4% | -6.7% | -2.1% | -0.2% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.98 | 1.44 | +47.0% | +7.8% | +15.7% | +4.0% | +4.0% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 0.56 | 0.93 | +67.0% | +3.1% | +5.7% | +15.1% | +13.4% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 0.34 | 0.54 | +60.5% | +3.2% | +8.9% | +8.6% | +20.9% |
| 2023-01-24 miss | 0.61 | 0.42 | -30.6% | -2.2% | -8.6% | -2.6% | -7.7% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | 0.52 | 1.02 | +97.5% | +4.6% | +9.0% | +10.4% | +21.1% |
| 2022-07-19 miss | 0.81 | 0.80 | -1.3% | -10.7% | -10.3% | -2.5% | -5.8% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.77 | 1.03 | +34.3% | +5.4% | -0.5% | -1.7% | -3.2% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.69 | 0.81 | +18.0% | +4.6% | +10.5% | -1.3% | -8.4% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.74 | 0.96 | +29.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +2.6% | -0.2% |
| 2021-07-20 beat | 0.39 | 0.59 | +53.6% | +3.5% | +6.9% | -1.1% | -6.3% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 0.43 | 0.59 | +38.5% | +8.0% | +3.1% | +0.2% | -8.8% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 0.38 | 0.46 | +19.8% | +5.4% | -1.6% | -3.9% | -2.8% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.50 | +117.3% | +7.1% | +4.0% | -1.0% | +4.8% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -0.03 | 0.21 | +781.6% | +2.0% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +7.2% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +29.3% | -4.2% | -4.2% | +10.5% | +28.1% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 0.13 | 0.35 | +167.9% | +2.8% | -0.4% | -8.9% | -12.4% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.11 | 0.30 | +185.7% | +3.5% | -0.3% | +6.9% | +4.6% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +106.5% | +15.0% | +3.2% | -5.5% | -8.4% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.09 | 0.24 | +157.2% | -1.0% | +0.2% | +3.5% | -2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.