FRT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -0.6% | 2.7% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.4% | 2.0% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.1% | 70% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.3% | 3.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 0.72 | 0.97 | +35.3% | +1.7% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -6.5% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.68 | 1.81 | +165.2% | +1.4% | +4.0% | +0.3% | +3.5% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.76 | 1.56 | +104.7% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +4.1% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-31 miss | 0.78 | 0.69 | -11.3% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +1.2% | +1.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.75 | 1.78 | +138.3% | +1.8% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +10.2% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +2.2% | +0.0% | -1.8% | +4.8% | +4.6% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 0.74 | 0.73 | -1.1% | -0.3% | -6.1% | +0.6% | -7.4% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.74 | 0.70 | -5.2% | -2.8% | -3.0% | +2.5% | +3.1% |
| 2024-08-01 miss | 0.71 | 0.69 | -2.7% | +2.0% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +1.9% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | 0.69 | 0.66 | -4.7% | -0.4% | -2.8% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.