FSS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.9% | +2.0% | 9.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.7% | 1.7% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.8% | 2.3% | 30% |
| 5-day | +4.4% | +3.6% | 11.3% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.29 | 1.42 | +10.3% | +8.0% | +11.3% | +2.6% | -5.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.88 | 1.18 | +33.4% | +13.4% | +8.7% | +2.6% | -12.2% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.10 | 1.16 | +5.9% | +5.6% | +2.1% | -2.2% | -9.1% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.6% | +2.1% | -10.8% | -4.2% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.06 | 1.17 | +10.5% | +12.1% | +18.2% | +1.1% | +2.4% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.9% | +4.1% | +7.6% | +8.4% | +15.5% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.2% | -2.4% | -11.9% | +1.1% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +5.3% | -1.4% | -3.8% | +8.7% | +20.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.84 | 0.95 | +12.7% | +1.8% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -2.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.64 | +13.3% | -2.3% | -4.6% | +5.6% | +7.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.