FSS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.9% | +2.1% | 7.8% | 58% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 2.9% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.3% | 2.7% | 43% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +2.7% | 8.4% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.29 | 1.42 | +10.3% | +8.0% | +11.3% | +2.6% | -5.2% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.88 | 1.18 | +33.4% | +13.4% | +8.7% | +2.6% | -12.2% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 1.10 | 1.16 | +5.9% | +5.6% | +2.1% | -2.2% | -9.1% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.6% | +2.1% | -10.8% | -4.2% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.06 | 1.17 | +10.5% | +12.1% | +18.2% | +1.1% | +2.4% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.9% | +4.1% | +7.6% | +8.4% | +15.5% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.87 | 0.87 | -0.2% | -2.4% | -11.9% | +1.1% | -1.4% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.84 | 0.88 | +5.3% | -1.4% | -3.8% | +8.7% | +20.3% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.84 | 0.95 | +12.7% | +1.8% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -2.5% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.56 | 0.64 | +13.3% | -2.3% | -4.6% | +5.6% | +7.3% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 0.66 | 0.74 | +12.4% | +3.5% | +2.6% | -5.7% | +0.4% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.1% | +4.0% | +9.3% | +2.3% | +11.1% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +7.3% | +3.1% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -5.3% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +14.6% | +0.4% | +2.9% | -1.6% | +2.5% |
| 2023-03-01 beat | 0.56 | 0.57 | +1.0% | +2.1% | +9.8% | -4.5% | -8.0% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.3% | -3.1% | -3.0% | +9.1% | +5.2% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.53 | +12.8% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +8.5% | +10.4% |
| 2022-05-02 beat | 0.26 | 0.34 | +29.1% | +0.4% | +0.6% | -5.6% | +5.4% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.7% | +2.0% | -6.8% | +3.4% | +1.6% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +4.3% | -2.2% | +2.9% | +1.0% | -7.4% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +11.5% | +3.0% | +2.7% | -4.5% | +1.4% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +14.2% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +3.4% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.40 | 0.44 | +9.1% | -0.8% | -4.1% | +0.5% | +6.0% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +12.0% | -0.6% | -1.2% | +3.9% | +8.1% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.31 | 0.42 | +37.0% | +1.3% | +5.3% | +1.7% | +3.3% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +16.8% | +1.9% | -1.1% | -11.7% | +0.1% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.42 | 0.48 | +13.7% | -0.9% | -1.7% | +2.5% | -11.9% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +12.6% | -0.3% | -4.6% | +1.4% | -0.2% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +18.5% | +6.3% | +7.9% | -5.3% | -5.9% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +16.5% | -1.8% | -4.7% | -3.5% | -9.2% |
| 2019-02-28 beat | 0.31 | 0.39 | +25.0% | +7.9% | +7.2% | -1.1% | +5.7% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +11.8% | +4.4% | +5.5% | -2.4% | -11.1% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | 0.33 | 0.45 | +38.0% | +10.2% | +16.9% | -6.1% | -4.8% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +15.0% | +4.8% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +5.9% |
| 2018-02-28 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +21.2% | +2.3% | +9.1% | +5.0% | +2.9% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +15.7% | +2.0% | +9.1% | -10.2% | -9.0% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +7.0% | +3.8% | +1.8% | -1.3% | -3.0% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +16.7% | +4.2% | +6.8% | +3.4% | +3.9% |
| 2017-02-28 beat | 0.16 | 0.16 | +1.6% | -5.9% | -3.4% | -1.3% | -8.4% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +4.1% | -0.5% | -3.8% | +8.6% | +35.6% |
| 2016-07-28 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -12.1% | -2.4% | -4.5% | -5.1% | -1.4% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +18.8% | +0.4% | -11.7% | +6.5% | +10.3% |
| 2016-02-29 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.2% | -5.7% | -21.6% | +10.1% | +11.3% |
| 2015-11-03 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +15.6% | +1.0% | +5.4% | +2.7% | +0.1% |
| 2015-07-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.29 | +9.4% | -4.9% | +8.6% | -5.5% | -10.3% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +58.6% | +1.9% | -5.5% | -4.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015-03-02 beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.9% | +3.1% | +2.0% | -11.0% | -6.1% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.20 | 0.24 | +18.0% | +3.1% | +9.2% | +3.0% | +1.0% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +15.7% | +2.0% | +6.5% | -0.5% | +3.6% |
| 2014-05-01 miss | 0.17 | 0.12 | -29.4% | -4.3% | -3.7% | -5.7% | -5.6% |
| 2014-03-05 beat | 0.25 | 0.34 | +34.1% | +4.2% | +9.1% | +1.7% | +10.5% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 0.17 | 0.26 | +56.3% | +3.9% | +4.2% | +5.5% | +1.7% |
| 2013-08-09 beat | 0.14 | 0.23 | +62.8% | +12.3% | +8.9% | +6.6% | +23.1% |
| 2013-05-06 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +25.9% | +0.4% | -1.2% | +4.8% | +6.9% |
| 2013-03-15 miss | 0.12 | 0.08 | -27.8% | -2.1% | -4.2% | +10.6% | -0.8% |
| 2012-11-09 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +37.0% | -0.2% | +3.3% | -7.1% | +19.6% |
| 2012-08-03 beat | 0.11 | 0.15 | +44.7% | -5.6% | +4.5% | +5.4% | +9.3% |
| 2012-05-04 miss | 0.02 | 0.01 | -69.0% | -0.6% | -0.2% | +3.6% | -9.6% |
| 2012-03-14 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +19.9% | -0.7% | +26.2% | -5.0% | -6.2% |
| 2011-11-01 miss | 0.08 | 0.03 | -61.3% | -9.5% | -9.5% | +2.8% | -14.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.