GEVO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.7% | -0.7% | 21.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +3.6% | +0.7% | 8.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.5% | 4.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.8% | +0.5% | 22.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.75 | -3665.1% | +12.5% | +9.0% | +7.6% | +5.1% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -0.01 | -0.03 | -211.0% | -8.4% | -9.9% | -8.2% | -18.0% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +74.0% | -0.5% | +13.2% | +11.2% | -7.9% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +52.6% | +1.4% | -1.4% | -6.7% | +14.4% |
| 2025-08-11 beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +118.2% | +40.0% | +59.2% | -20.1% | -16.6% |
| 2025-05-13 beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +10.0% | -0.8% | -7.3% | -5.2% | +11.3% |
| 2025-03-27 miss | -0.09 | -0.09 | -3.3% | -0.8% | -9.5% | -9.6% | -0.9% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +10.0% | -15.8% | -16.3% | -10.1% | -7.5% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -18.8% | +1.9% | +0.0% | +38.9% | +27.8% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -10.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +9.1% | -1.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.