GEVO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.1% | -4.0% | 13.8% | 27% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.2% | 7.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.0% | 5.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | -4.5% | -7.8% | 17.0% | 28% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | -0.02 | -0.75 | -3665.1% | +12.5% | +9.0% | +7.6% | +5.1% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -0.01 | -0.03 | -211.0% | -8.4% | -9.9% | -8.2% | -18.0% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | -0.03 | -0.01 | +74.0% | -0.5% | +13.2% | +11.2% | -7.9% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | -0.06 | -0.03 | +52.6% | +1.4% | -1.4% | -6.7% | +14.4% |
| 2025-08-11 beat | -0.05 | 0.01 | +118.2% | +40.0% | +59.2% | -20.1% | -16.6% |
| 2025-05-13 beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +10.0% | -0.8% | -7.3% | -5.2% | +11.3% |
| 2025-03-27 miss | -0.09 | -0.09 | -3.3% | -0.8% | -9.5% | -9.6% | -0.9% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -0.10 | -0.09 | +10.0% | -15.8% | -16.3% | -10.1% | -7.5% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -18.8% | +1.9% | +0.0% | +38.9% | +27.8% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -10.4% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +9.1% | -1.5% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | -0.05 | -0.08 | -53.9% | +0.0% | -3.7% | -15.2% | -5.1% |
| 2023-11-13 miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -31.2% | +1.9% | +11.1% | -4.2% | +13.3% |
| 2023-08-10 miss | -0.05 | -0.06 | -13.6% | -2.6% | +1.9% | -8.8% | -13.2% |
| 2023-05-10 miss | -0.06 | -0.07 | -26.1% | -2.5% | -5.8% | +6.2% | +33.6% |
| 2023-03-09 miss | -0.06 | -0.11 | -81.6% | +2.5% | +5.6% | +3.5% | -26.5% |
| 2022-11-08 miss | -0.08 | -0.19 | -147.8% | -5.8% | -18.8% | +28.7% | -1.1% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | -0.08 | -0.06 | +29.4% | -3.4% | +4.0% | +6.5% | -17.0% |
| 2022-05-09 | -0.08 | -0.08 | — | +7.5% | +2.9% | +23.0% | -7.3% |
| 2022-02-24 miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -20.0% | -8.9% | -6.0% | +4.7% | +44.3% |
| 2021-11-10 miss | -0.07 | -0.07 | -5.0% | +0.3% | +3.8% | -11.1% | -31.8% |
| 2021-08-12 miss | -0.05 | -0.09 | -80.0% | -3.9% | -8.2% | -5.0% | +23.9% |
| 2021-05-13 miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -42.9% | +11.6% | +23.9% | +16.4% | +33.9% |
| 2021-03-17 miss | -0.04 | -0.07 | -75.0% | -8.4% | -10.3% | +1.3% | -26.8% |
| 2020-11-10 miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -5.9% | -4.7% | -3.8% | +6.9% | +76.5% |
| 2020-08-10 miss | -0.25 | -0.39 | -56.0% | -6.7% | -6.7% | +0.0% | +58.9% |
| 2020-05-12 miss | -0.44 | -0.64 | -43.8% | -12.5% | -14.2% | +16.5% | +15.5% |
| 2020-03-17 beat | -0.53 | -0.50 | +5.7% | +6.4% | -18.2% | +6.7% | +0.0% |
| 2019-11-12 miss | -0.55 | -0.66 | -20.0% | -3.1% | -4.7% | -7.0% | -5.3% |
| 2019-08-14 miss | -0.37 | -0.60 | -62.2% | -5.5% | -3.2% | +14.3% | +36.7% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | -0.47 | -0.63 | -34.0% | -4.1% | -2.3% | -5.1% | -11.1% |
| 2019-03-27 miss | -0.66 | -0.83 | -25.8% | -9.8% | -2.7% | +13.3% | +0.5% |
| 2018-11-06 miss | -0.60 | -0.85 | -41.7% | -3.6% | -3.0% | -7.6% | -21.1% |
| 2018-08-08 miss | -5.80 | -7.19 | -24.0% | -15.0% | -18.1% | -9.0% | +21.2% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | -4.80 | -2.20 | +54.2% | -2.6% | -13.2% | +3.0% | -35.6% |
| 2018-03-28 beat | -5.20 | -4.00 | +23.1% | -2.0% | -9.8% | +0.0% | -21.7% |
| 2017-11-06 beat | -8.20 | -7.20 | +12.2% | -4.5% | -7.5% | -3.2% | +0.0% |
| 2017-08-03 beat | -10.80 | -8.80 | +18.5% | +3.2% | -1.6% | -6.6% | +0.0% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | -11.40 | -10.20 | +10.5% | +0.0% | -4.0% | -4.2% | -32.3% |
| 2017-03-29 beat | -19.20 | -6.60 | +65.6% | -15.4% | -10.3% | +1.9% | -2.9% |
| 2016-11-14 miss | -34.00 | -36.00 | -5.9% | -7.7% | -10.3% | -11.4% | -34.3% |
| 2016-08-09 miss | -32.00 | -60.00 | -87.5% | -29.3% | -32.0% | +7.8% | -3.9% |
| 2016-05-12 beat | -146.00 | -64.00 | +56.2% | +12.5% | +21.9% | -17.9% | +20.5% |
| 2016-03-29 miss | -172.00 | -176.00 | -2.3% | -28.3% | -39.1% | -21.4% | -7.1% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | -256.00 | -273.20 | -6.7% | -1.0% | -10.9% | -15.8% | -52.6% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | -324.00 | -263.20 | +18.8% | -14.3% | -9.2% | +0.0% | -7.3% |
| 2015-05-12 miss | -480.00 | -556.28 | -15.9% | +17.7% | -4.5% | -28.0% | -14.3% |
| 2015-03-26 beat | -750.00 | -682.20 | +9.0% | +0.0% | -7.4% | -16.0% | -35.5% |
| 2014-11-11 beat | -993.42 | -752.40 | +24.3% | +24.2% | +18.2% | -2.6% | -20.5% |
| 2014-08-13 miss | -990.00 | -1500.00 | -51.5% | -2.0% | -2.0% | -6.2% | -10.4% |
| 2014-05-14 beat | -1260.00 | -1080.00 | +14.3% | +2.0% | -3.9% | -6.1% | -2.0% |
| 2014-03-25 beat | -1933.84 | -1804.80 | +6.7% | -7.3% | -5.6% | +3.4% | -5.1% |
| 2013-11-05 miss | -2007.86 | -2276.40 | -13.4% | -17.5% | -20.5% | +2.3% | +28.0% |
| 2013-08-06 miss | -2215.58 | -2231.40 | -0.7% | -7.7% | -7.1% | +1.1% | +7.1% |
| 2013-04-30 beat | -2475.00 | -2340.00 | +5.5% | -5.4% | -10.3% | +7.2% | +7.8% |
| 2013-03-05 beat | -2690.00 | -2040.00 | +24.2% | +8.1% | +5.4% | -1.0% | +6.6% |
| 2012-10-30 beat | -2524.83 | -1860.00 | +26.3% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -1.0% | -23.4% |
| 2012-08-07 beat | -3787.38 | -3720.00 | +1.8% | +7.8% | -3.1% | -0.8% | -11.5% |
| 2012-05-01 miss | -3549.41 | -3828.00 | -7.8% | -1.0% | +2.3% | -27.6% | -44.3% |
| 2012-02-28 miss | -2880.86 | -3240.00 | -12.5% | +2.7% | +12.2% | -21.9% | -2.4% |
| 2011-11-01 miss | -2451.03 | -2880.00 | -17.5% | +17.3% | +8.8% | +5.0% | -14.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.