GFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.2% | +2.2% | 8.8% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +0.5% | 5.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.5% | 3.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +6.1% | +7.5% | 9.4% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.5% | -7.5% | -4.9% | +7.5% | -10.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +14.0% | +3.3% | +9.3% | -2.6% | +14.4% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +16.2% | +4.3% | +16.3% | -6.8% | -14.1% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.4% | +6.5% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +13.3% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +16.9% | -8.0% | -9.3% | +0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +17.8% | +0.3% | -2.7% | +13.7% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.8% | -3.3% | +6.3% | +14.2% | -8.9% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.7% | +16.5% | +14.9% | +1.7% | +7.0% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +31.5% | -0.4% | -3.4% | +3.8% | -4.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +34.1% | +4.9% | +7.1% | +2.1% | -7.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.