GFS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | -0.1% | 7.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.2% | 4.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.8% | 3.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | +3.3% | +2.0% | 9.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +6.5% | -7.5% | -4.9% | +7.5% | -10.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +14.0% | +3.3% | +9.3% | -2.6% | +14.4% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +16.2% | +4.3% | +16.3% | -6.8% | -14.1% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.4% | +6.5% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +13.3% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +16.9% | -8.0% | -9.3% | +0.1% | +1.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +17.8% | +0.3% | -2.7% | +13.7% | +7.4% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +1.8% | -3.3% | +6.3% | +14.2% | -8.9% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.7% | +16.5% | +14.9% | +1.7% | +7.0% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.38 | +31.5% | -0.4% | -3.4% | +3.8% | -4.5% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.23 | 0.31 | +34.1% | +4.9% | +7.1% | +2.1% | -7.8% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.59 | 0.64 | +8.7% | -3.8% | -2.1% | -2.3% | -3.8% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.8% | +5.5% | +5.1% | +2.8% | -2.8% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.4% | -5.7% | +1.7% | -4.9% | -6.0% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +5.1% | -6.5% | -9.3% | +0.0% | +9.5% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 1.32 | 1.44 | +8.8% | +2.8% | +8.4% | -11.9% | -6.9% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 0.62 | 0.67 | +8.9% | +8.6% | +8.6% | +8.9% | +2.1% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.45 | 0.58 | +28.3% | +4.6% | -5.9% | +14.9% | +8.2% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 0.24 | 0.42 | +73.5% | -2.1% | -7.0% | +9.5% | +5.5% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 0.11 | 0.18 | +61.2% | +4.4% | +1.7% | -7.1% | +2.6% |
| 2021-11-30 beat | — | 0.07 | +4535.8% | +4.0% | -4.3% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.