GM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +0.4% | 6.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 2.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +0.5% | 9.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 3.19 | 3.57 | +12.0% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +13.6% | +6.8% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.64 | 3.70 | +40.2% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -3.5% | +6.8% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.27 | 2.51 | +10.7% | +5.3% | +8.7% | -0.8% | -6.5% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.32 | 2.80 | +20.6% | +9.9% | +14.9% | +4.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 2.48 | 2.53 | +2.1% | -2.8% | -8.1% | +6.6% | +16.1% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.67 | 2.78 | +4.3% | -2.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% | +3.5% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 1.84 | 1.92 | +4.3% | -7.2% | -8.9% | -2.9% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 2.39 | 2.96 | +23.8% | +2.2% | +9.8% | -4.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 2.70 | 3.06 | +13.4% | -0.4% | -6.4% | -4.6% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 2.12 | 2.62 | +23.6% | +6.2% | +4.4% | -1.3% | -2.5% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +8.8% | +8.4% | +7.8% | -0.3% | +7.4% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.84 | 2.28 | +24.1% | -2.8% | -2.3% | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +4.0% | -4.0% | -3.5% | +0.5% | -11.5% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.73 | 2.21 | +27.9% | -0.9% | -4.0% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.68 | 2.12 | +26.1% | +7.3% | +8.3% | +5.3% | +0.5% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 1.88 | 2.25 | +19.6% | +2.0% | +3.6% | +6.3% | +8.4% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 1.32 | 1.14 | -13.5% | -1.4% | -3.4% | +8.4% | +17.7% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.66 | 2.09 | +25.6% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +6.5% | -3.2% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 1.15 | 1.35 | +17.3% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -5.2% | -20.7% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.97 | 1.52 | +57.1% | -3.1% | -5.4% | +3.2% | +10.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.