GM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.1% | 5.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 42% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | -0.7% | 6.9% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 3.19 | 3.57 | +12.0% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +13.6% | +6.8% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.64 | 3.70 | +40.2% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -3.5% | +6.8% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.27 | 2.51 | +10.7% | +5.3% | +8.7% | -0.8% | -6.5% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.32 | 2.80 | +20.6% | +9.9% | +14.9% | +4.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 2.48 | 2.53 | +2.1% | -2.8% | -8.1% | +6.6% | +16.1% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.67 | 2.78 | +4.3% | -2.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% | +3.5% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 1.84 | 1.92 | +4.3% | -7.2% | -8.9% | -2.9% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 2.39 | 2.96 | +23.8% | +2.2% | +9.8% | -4.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 2.70 | 3.06 | +13.4% | -0.4% | -6.4% | -4.6% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 2.12 | 2.62 | +23.6% | +6.2% | +4.4% | -1.3% | -2.5% |
| 2024-01-30 beat | 1.14 | 1.24 | +8.8% | +8.4% | +7.8% | -0.3% | +7.4% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 1.84 | 2.28 | +24.1% | -2.8% | -2.3% | -1.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +4.0% | -4.0% | -3.5% | +0.5% | -11.5% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.73 | 2.21 | +27.9% | -0.9% | -4.0% | +0.5% | -1.9% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.68 | 2.12 | +26.1% | +7.3% | +8.3% | +5.3% | +0.5% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 1.88 | 2.25 | +19.6% | +2.0% | +3.6% | +6.3% | +8.4% |
| 2022-07-26 miss | 1.32 | 1.14 | -13.5% | -1.4% | -3.4% | +8.4% | +17.7% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.66 | 2.09 | +25.6% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +6.5% | -3.2% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 1.15 | 1.35 | +17.3% | +1.6% | -1.1% | -5.2% | -20.7% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.97 | 1.52 | +57.1% | -3.1% | -5.4% | +3.2% | +10.9% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 1.83 | 1.97 | +7.9% | -4.6% | -8.9% | +2.9% | -7.2% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.05 | 2.25 | +114.2% | +3.2% | +4.0% | -6.6% | +10.1% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 1.64 | 1.93 | +17.6% | -0.8% | -2.1% | -5.0% | +8.0% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 1.43 | 2.83 | +98.0% | +4.7% | +5.4% | +5.9% | +19.3% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -1.78 | -0.50 | +71.9% | +2.7% | -1.7% | +1.7% | +14.7% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 0.34 | 0.62 | +84.3% | +8.4% | +3.0% | -2.0% | +39.8% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +662.2% | +1.5% | +1.9% | +1.3% | -18.1% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 1.37 | 1.72 | +25.9% | +2.6% | +4.3% | +0.1% | -5.4% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 1.45 | 1.64 | +12.8% | +2.3% | -0.5% | -0.1% | -7.6% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.12 | 1.41 | +26.2% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -1.1% | -10.6% |
| 2019-02-06 beat | 1.21 | 1.43 | +18.6% | +2.2% | +1.6% | -2.3% | -4.8% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 1.25 | 1.87 | +49.8% | +7.2% | +9.1% | +0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2018-07-25 beat | 1.80 | 1.81 | +0.5% | -5.1% | -4.6% | -1.4% | -5.3% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 1.27 | 1.43 | +12.5% | -1.4% | +0.4% | -5.5% | +0.1% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 1.44 | 1.65 | +14.7% | +1.3% | +5.9% | -1.1% | -9.6% |
| 2017-10-24 beat | 1.11 | 1.32 | +18.8% | +1.7% | +2.9% | -7.5% | -4.7% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 1.72 | 1.89 | +9.9% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -0.2% |
| 2017-04-28 beat | 1.47 | 1.70 | +15.9% | +1.5% | +0.3% | -2.5% | -3.2% |
| 2017-02-07 beat | 1.17 | 1.28 | +9.6% | -2.9% | -4.7% | +6.1% | +4.9% |
| 2016-10-25 beat | 1.47 | 1.72 | +16.7% | -0.4% | -4.2% | -0.4% | +7.2% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 1.52 | 1.86 | +22.2% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -3.2% | -0.6% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 1.00 | 1.26 | +25.5% | +3.1% | +1.5% | -0.7% | -6.4% |
| 2016-02-03 beat | 1.20 | 1.39 | +16.1% | +1.5% | -2.5% | -4.2% | +8.5% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 1.18 | 1.50 | +26.6% | +4.4% | +5.8% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 1.08 | 1.29 | +19.2% | +7.8% | +4.0% | +1.3% | -6.0% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 0.97 | 0.86 | -11.2% | -2.4% | -3.3% | -2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2015-02-04 beat | 0.83 | 1.19 | +43.6% | +3.8% | +5.4% | +5.1% | +2.8% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.3% | +2.0% | -1.2% | -0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.1% | -2.0% | -4.5% | -5.4% | -4.2% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +538.3% | +3.2% | -0.6% | +2.1% | -1.6% |
| 2014-02-06 miss | 0.89 | 0.67 | -24.4% | -2.3% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +5.3% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.1% | +3.2% | +3.2% | -1.7% | +4.0% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.76 | 0.84 | +10.9% | +0.9% | -0.2% | -1.6% | -5.4% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.56 | 0.85 | +50.7% | +3.7% | +3.2% | +1.6% | +10.5% |
| 2013-02-14 miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -6.2% | +0.2% | -3.2% | -2.3% | +1.0% |
| 2012-10-31 beat | 0.60 | 0.93 | +55.5% | +4.4% | +9.5% | -1.8% | +1.5% |
| 2012-08-02 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +14.5% | -0.4% | -2.6% | +7.9% | +11.5% |
| 2012-05-03 beat | 0.85 | 0.93 | +10.0% | +0.9% | -2.4% | +0.0% | -5.6% |
| 2012-02-16 miss | 0.43 | 0.39 | -9.8% | +1.4% | +9.0% | -4.0% | -6.6% |
| 2011-11-09 beat | 0.95 | 1.05 | +9.9% | -7.9% | -10.9% | +1.5% | -5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.