GM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +2.9% | 8.1% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 3.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 1.9% | 30% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +0.5% | 11.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 beat | 3.19 | 3.57 | +12.0% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +13.6% | +6.8% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 2.64 | 3.70 | +40.2% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -3.5% | +6.8% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 2.27 | 2.51 | +10.7% | +5.3% | +8.7% | -0.8% | -6.5% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.32 | 2.80 | +20.6% | +9.9% | +14.9% | +4.9% | +2.8% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 2.48 | 2.53 | +2.1% | -2.8% | -8.1% | +6.6% | +16.1% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.67 | 2.78 | +4.3% | -2.8% | -0.6% | -3.2% | +3.5% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 1.84 | 1.92 | +4.3% | -7.2% | -8.9% | -2.9% | -4.8% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 2.39 | 2.96 | +23.8% | +2.2% | +9.8% | -4.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 2.70 | 3.06 | +13.4% | -0.4% | -6.4% | -4.6% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 2.12 | 2.62 | +23.6% | +6.2% | +4.4% | -1.3% | -2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.