GOLD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -0.3% | 8.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +5.8% | +4.2% | 4.8% | 90% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -1.1% | 4.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | -0.8% | 14.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 0.96 | — | — | -3.5% | -5.3% | +16.2% | — |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.3% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -6.8% | -7.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +0.8% | +4.9% | +9.9% | +10.1% | -8.4% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.86 | 0.17 | -80.0% | -2.8% | +1.2% | -0.2% | +22.9% |
| 2025-09-09 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.3% | -10.0% | -1.7% | +10.4% | +13.4% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.65 | 0.22 | -66.2% | -9.1% | -13.3% | +2.3% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.86 | 0.44 | -48.9% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -3.5% | -4.3% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.98 | 0.53 | -45.5% | -11.1% | -16.1% | -6.5% | -8.8% |
| 2024-08-29 miss | 1.44 | 0.76 | -47.0% | +5.2% | +9.1% | +12.0% | +14.0% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 1.04 | 0.38 | -63.1% | -12.8% | -5.4% | -2.2% | -8.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.