GOLD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -0.5% | 8.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.2% | 5.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 4.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -1.1% | 14.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 0.96 | — | — | -3.5% | -5.3% | +16.2% | — |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.17 | 2.24 | +3.3% | +1.0% | +1.0% | -6.8% | -7.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +0.8% | +4.9% | +9.9% | +10.1% | -8.4% |
| 2025-11-06 miss | 0.86 | 0.17 | -80.0% | -2.8% | +1.2% | -0.2% | +22.9% |
| 2025-09-09 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.3% | -10.0% | -1.7% | +10.4% | +13.4% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.65 | 0.22 | -66.2% | -9.1% | -13.3% | +2.3% | +2.8% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.86 | 0.44 | -48.9% | +0.7% | +1.0% | -3.5% | -4.3% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.98 | 0.53 | -45.5% | -11.1% | -16.1% | -6.5% | -8.8% |
| 2024-08-29 miss | 1.44 | 0.76 | -47.0% | +5.2% | +9.1% | +12.0% | +14.0% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 1.04 | 0.38 | -63.1% | -12.8% | -5.4% | -2.2% | -8.2% |
| 2024-02-06 miss | 1.23 | 0.68 | -44.8% | -4.1% | -3.4% | -0.5% | +8.9% |
| 2023-11-07 miss | 1.34 | 0.86 | -35.9% | -9.8% | -6.8% | +5.3% | +20.3% |
| 2023-08-31 miss | 1.82 | 1.80 | -1.5% | +5.5% | +10.9% | -6.5% | -25.9% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 1.53 | 1.56 | +2.0% | +2.6% | +4.0% | -4.3% | -1.9% |
| 2023-02-06 miss | 1.90 | 1.49 | -21.8% | -4.3% | -11.6% | -5.4% | -13.3% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 1.71 | 1.96 | +14.6% | +11.1% | +13.3% | +2.6% | +10.4% |
| 2022-08-30 miss | 1.79 | 1.54 | -14.0% | -1.0% | -12.4% | -3.8% | -8.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 1.05 | 1.88 | +78.9% | +0.9% | -5.7% | -9.6% | -0.5% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.21 | 1.30 | +7.8% | +4.8% | +7.0% | -0.4% | -5.3% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.71 | 1.08 | +52.8% | -1.7% | -7.4% | +4.4% | -11.5% |
| 2021-09-09 beat | 0.44 | 2.14 | +391.9% | +11.5% | +12.0% | -1.5% | +14.2% |
| 2021-05-12 beat | 1.45 | 2.77 | +92.0% | +14.8% | +15.7% | +24.1% | +6.1% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +11.2% | +0.1% | -2.9% | -5.7% | +37.7% |
| 2021-02-09 miss | 0.65 | 0.58 | -10.8% | -8.6% | -17.5% | -5.4% | +20.3% |
| 2020-11-10 beat | 0.75 | 1.55 | +106.0% | +16.2% | +7.2% | -1.7% | -4.4% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.32 | 0.41 | +28.8% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +0.3% |
| 2020-08-10 beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +30.7% | -0.6% | -2.2% | -9.9% | +3.5% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -0.0% | +0.7% | +2.3% | +14.2% | +22.3% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +22.2% | +3.4% | +2.7% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +29.7% | -1.1% | -7.0% | +3.5% | -8.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.