GT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.4% | -1.6% | 12.5% | 45% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 4.6% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | +0.1% | 4.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | -4.0% | 18.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.63 | -0.61 | +2.8% | +4.2% | -2.6% | -8.6% | -7.5% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | -0.43 | -0.39 | +8.5% | -3.6% | -6.0% | -15.6% | -15.5% |
| 2026-02-09 miss | 0.49 | 0.39 | -19.8% | -12.6% | -13.5% | -2.3% | -22.3% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.14 | 0.28 | +97.8% | +6.7% | +7.8% | +0.9% | +14.0% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.14 | -0.17 | -219.7% | -16.2% | -18.5% | +1.6% | +2.3% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -160.9% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +7.7% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.31 | 0.39 | +26.1% | +9.2% | +17.3% | +2.2% | -6.8% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.22 | 0.37 | +66.9% | +3.7% | +13.7% | +2.1% | +8.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +36.6% | -4.5% | -15.9% | -19.6% | -10.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | -0.01 | 0.10 | +892.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +5.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 0.36 | 0.47 | +28.8% | -7.1% | -15.0% | +7.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.19 | 0.36 | +85.5% | +3.2% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +8.9% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.16 | -0.34 | -307.2% | -12.6% | -16.2% | -0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2023-05-05 miss | -0.26 | -0.29 | -10.6% | +0.0% | +8.5% | +28.3% | +18.5% |
| 2023-02-13 miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -40.4% | -0.6% | +3.2% | -0.6% | -8.7% |
| 2022-10-31 miss | 0.55 | 0.40 | -27.8% | -9.8% | -14.9% | -7.5% | +3.8% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.46 | +31.8% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +14.8% | -0.2% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.37 | +77.2% | -0.2% | -9.5% | -1.4% | +10.8% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 0.43 | 0.57 | +33.9% | +4.0% | -27.4% | +1.5% | -16.8% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.72 | +166.1% | +11.9% | +12.5% | -2.4% | -10.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.