GT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.5% | -2.8% | 11.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 4.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.8% | 3.8% | 57% |
| 5-day | -2.6% | -4.3% | 16.3% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | -0.63 | -0.61 | +2.8% | +4.2% | -2.6% | -8.6% | -7.5% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | -0.43 | -0.39 | +8.5% | -3.6% | -6.0% | -15.6% | -15.5% |
| 2026-02-09 miss | 0.49 | 0.39 | -19.8% | -12.6% | -13.5% | -2.3% | -22.3% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.14 | 0.28 | +97.8% | +6.7% | +7.8% | +0.9% | +14.0% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.14 | -0.17 | -219.7% | -16.2% | -18.5% | +1.6% | +2.3% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.04 | -160.9% | -1.6% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +7.7% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.31 | 0.39 | +26.1% | +9.2% | +17.3% | +2.2% | -6.8% |
| 2024-11-04 beat | 0.22 | 0.37 | +66.9% | +3.7% | +13.7% | +2.1% | +8.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.14 | 0.19 | +36.6% | -4.5% | -15.9% | -19.6% | -10.4% |
| 2024-05-06 beat | -0.01 | 0.10 | +892.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +5.2% | -1.8% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 0.36 | 0.47 | +28.8% | -7.1% | -15.0% | +7.9% | +6.9% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.19 | 0.36 | +85.5% | +3.2% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +8.9% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.16 | -0.34 | -307.2% | -12.6% | -16.2% | -0.8% | +1.2% |
| 2023-05-05 miss | -0.26 | -0.29 | -10.6% | +0.0% | +8.5% | +28.3% | +18.5% |
| 2023-02-13 miss | 0.12 | 0.07 | -40.4% | -0.6% | +3.2% | -0.6% | -8.7% |
| 2022-10-31 miss | 0.55 | 0.40 | -27.8% | -9.8% | -14.9% | -7.5% | +3.8% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 0.35 | 0.46 | +31.8% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +14.8% | -0.2% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.37 | +77.2% | -0.2% | -9.5% | -1.4% | +10.8% |
| 2022-02-11 beat | 0.43 | 0.57 | +33.9% | +4.0% | -27.4% | +1.5% | -16.8% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.72 | +166.1% | +11.9% | +12.5% | -2.4% | -10.1% |
| 2021-08-06 beat | 0.17 | 0.32 | +88.2% | +4.8% | +6.6% | +2.1% | -1.0% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 0.17 | 0.43 | +157.5% | +2.0% | -3.0% | +14.3% | +18.7% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.16 | 0.44 | +174.9% | +0.1% | +6.0% | +4.7% | +33.2% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | -0.08 | 0.10 | +223.3% | -3.3% | -16.6% | +5.8% | +29.5% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | -2.03 | -1.87 | +7.8% | +1.3% | -7.2% | +5.0% | +6.5% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | -0.27 | -0.60 | -119.8% | -7.4% | -11.0% | -6.3% | +10.7% |
| 2020-02-11 miss | 0.53 | 0.19 | -64.3% | -5.2% | -12.4% | -1.0% | -44.7% |
| 2019-10-25 miss | 0.52 | 0.45 | -13.9% | -0.6% | +9.4% | -3.4% | -1.1% |
| 2019-07-26 miss | 0.34 | 0.25 | -27.0% | -9.7% | -5.3% | -10.1% | -20.3% |
| 2019-04-26 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +19.0% | +5.8% | -1.7% | -4.4% | -25.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.