HALO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +6.0% | +3.5% | 8.8% | 80% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.5% | 2.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.2% | +6.5% | 12.2% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.82 | 2.28 | +25.5% | +4.9% | +20.2% | -4.3% | +5.0% |
| 2026-05-11 beat | 1.52 | 1.60 | +5.3% | +5.6% | +6.8% | -3.1% | -0.3% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 2.20 | -0.24 | -110.9% | -3.5% | -9.0% | -3.9% | -13.6% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.63 | 1.72 | +5.5% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +3.1% | -7.5% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.27 | 1.54 | +21.4% | +3.7% | +2.5% | +4.5% | +20.2% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +17.1% | +7.3% | +18.1% | -31.7% | -22.7% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.16 | 1.26 | +8.7% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +11.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.00 | 1.27 | +27.1% | +10.1% | +13.0% | +6.7% | -15.2% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.76 | 0.91 | +20.1% | +7.8% | +4.2% | +6.1% | +9.4% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.70 | 0.79 | +13.6% | +1.8% | +1.9% | +9.1% | +21.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.