HALO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.7% | +2.2% | 6.9% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 3.3% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 43% |
| 5-day | +3.6% | +2.1% | 11.5% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.82 | 2.28 | +25.5% | +4.9% | +20.2% | -4.3% | +5.0% |
| 2026-05-11 beat | 1.52 | 1.60 | +5.3% | +5.6% | +6.8% | -3.1% | -0.3% |
| 2026-02-17 miss | 2.20 | -0.24 | -110.9% | -3.5% | -9.0% | -3.9% | -13.6% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 1.63 | 1.72 | +5.5% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +3.1% | -7.5% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 1.27 | 1.54 | +21.4% | +3.7% | +2.5% | +4.5% | +20.2% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.95 | 1.11 | +17.1% | +7.3% | +18.1% | -31.7% | -22.7% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 1.16 | 1.26 | +8.7% | +1.9% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +11.3% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.00 | 1.27 | +27.1% | +10.1% | +13.0% | +6.7% | -15.2% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.76 | 0.91 | +20.1% | +7.8% | +4.2% | +6.1% | +9.4% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.70 | 0.79 | +13.6% | +1.8% | +1.9% | +9.1% | +21.0% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.83 | 0.82 | -1.4% | +4.8% | +6.6% | +3.5% | +4.8% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.71 | 0.75 | +6.1% | +4.0% | +10.0% | +3.8% | +3.5% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +15.3% | -2.1% | -1.6% | +1.5% | -9.7% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 0.48 | 0.47 | -3.0% | +5.1% | +12.8% | -3.0% | -1.5% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.0% | -1.3% | +0.8% | -4.9% | -32.7% |
| 2022-11-08 beat | 0.51 | 0.74 | +44.0% | +4.3% | +8.5% | +7.2% | +14.5% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +5.0% | +7.7% | +1.8% | -1.6% | -6.1% |
| 2022-05-10 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -5.0% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +11.5% | +13.5% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +3.3% | +3.8% | +2.9% | +6.7% | +14.8% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.48 | 0.55 | +15.7% | +2.1% | +1.4% | -4.7% | -19.1% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 0.44 | 0.66 | +51.5% | +14.0% | +2.0% | -1.3% | +0.1% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +18.6% | -8.7% | -7.4% | -0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2021-02-23 miss | 0.54 | 0.50 | -7.4% | +2.2% | +9.0% | -18.5% | -19.7% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +21.9% | +5.9% | +11.3% | +21.1% | +24.1% |
| 2020-08-10 miss | 0.25 | 0.19 | -22.8% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +0.0% | -4.4% |
| 2020-05-11 miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -3.5% | -2.5% | -4.7% | -0.7% | -2.7% |
| 2020-02-24 miss | -0.14 | -0.24 | -67.6% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -3.9% | -18.5% |
| 2019-11-12 miss | -0.13 | -0.17 | -33.1% | -4.6% | +5.4% | +8.0% | +7.4% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | -0.15 | -0.10 | +33.7% | -2.6% | -2.3% | -5.6% | -4.9% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.05 | 0.01 | -78.2% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -5.4% | -7.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.