HASI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.5% | +3.0% | 8.3% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +0.9% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -0.3% | 2.9% | 40% |
| 5-day | +5.8% | +7.4% | 11.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.7% | +4.0% | +6.4% | +3.5% | -3.2% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +11.8% | +2.2% | -3.3% | +0.3% | -10.4% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.6% | +9.3% | +10.8% | -5.4% | -8.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.1% | +7.0% | +12.2% | +5.1% | +2.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.4% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +7.5% | +7.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.2% | +4.4% | +0.5% | +9.5% | +0.3% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.6% | +10.5% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -6.8% | -1.2% | -10.9% | -4.8% | +7.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +10.6% | -3.5% | -3.1% | -1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +19.7% | +3.5% | +16.3% | +6.0% | +2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.