HASI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.9% | +3.2% | 6.8% | 80% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.6% | 5.0% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -0.3% | 2.3% | 45% |
| 5-day | +4.7% | +2.0% | 11.6% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.7% | +4.0% | +6.4% | +3.5% | -3.2% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.69 | 0.77 | +11.8% | +2.2% | -3.3% | +0.3% | -10.4% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.6% | +9.3% | +10.8% | -5.4% | -8.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.1% | +7.0% | +12.2% | +5.1% | +2.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -4.4% | +0.2% | +5.5% | +7.5% | +7.4% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.2% | +4.4% | +0.5% | +9.5% | +0.3% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +5.6% | +10.5% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | 0.56 | 0.52 | -6.8% | -1.2% | -10.9% | -4.8% | +7.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.63 | +10.6% | -3.5% | -3.1% | -1.4% | +5.2% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.57 | 0.68 | +19.7% | +3.5% | +16.3% | +6.0% | +2.6% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.58 | 0.53 | -9.2% | +4.4% | +2.8% | -6.4% | -3.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.62 | +17.1% | +7.7% | +15.7% | -12.0% | +15.7% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.7% | -0.6% | +0.2% | -3.3% | +2.3% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.53 | 0.53 | -0.7% | +4.7% | +5.1% | -2.8% | -3.6% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -3.7% | +4.2% | -2.2% | -7.0% | -24.5% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.49 | 0.49 | +0.1% | +2.0% | +3.2% | +20.3% | +11.9% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.50 | 0.60 | +20.7% | -0.2% | +4.9% | +10.7% | -5.0% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.48 | 0.52 | +8.2% | +0.8% | +3.1% | -15.6% | -10.0% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.41 | 0.47 | +15.0% | +4.0% | +10.9% | +7.2% | +5.9% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.3% | +1.3% | -8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.