HD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.4% | 2.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.2% | 20% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -0.3% | 3.4% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 beat | 4.73 | 4.92 | +4.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.1% | — |
| 2026-05-19 beat | 3.41 | 3.43 | +0.7% | -2.6% | +0.9% | +5.1% | +10.5% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 2.52 | 2.72 | +7.8% | +3.2% | +2.0% | -4.6% | -13.5% |
| 2025-11-18 miss | 3.83 | 3.74 | -2.5% | -5.0% | -6.0% | +4.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-19 miss | 4.69 | 4.68 | -0.3% | +1.6% | +3.2% | +0.1% | +2.5% |
| 2025-05-20 miss | 3.59 | 3.56 | -0.8% | +1.8% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -7.3% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 3.04 | 3.02 | -0.8% | +0.7% | +2.8% | -3.0% | -7.9% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 3.66 | 3.67 | +0.3% | +1.5% | -1.3% | +0.9% | +2.8% |
| 2024-08-13 beat | 4.55 | 4.60 | +1.2% | -1.1% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +7.0% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | 3.61 | 3.63 | +0.6% | -1.7% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.