HD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | +0.8% | 3.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -0.3% | 4.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 beat | 4.73 | 4.92 | +4.0% | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.1% | — |
| 2026-05-19 beat | 3.41 | 3.43 | +0.7% | -2.6% | +0.9% | +5.1% | +10.5% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | 2.52 | 2.72 | +7.8% | +3.2% | +2.0% | -4.6% | -13.5% |
| 2025-11-18 miss | 3.83 | 3.74 | -2.5% | -5.0% | -6.0% | +4.3% | +5.5% |
| 2025-08-19 miss | 4.69 | 4.68 | -0.3% | +1.6% | +3.2% | +0.1% | +2.5% |
| 2025-05-20 miss | 3.59 | 3.56 | -0.8% | +1.8% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -7.3% |
| 2025-02-25 miss | 3.04 | 3.02 | -0.8% | +0.7% | +2.8% | -3.0% | -7.9% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 3.66 | 3.67 | +0.3% | +1.5% | -1.3% | +0.9% | +2.8% |
| 2024-08-13 beat | 4.55 | 4.60 | +1.2% | -1.1% | +1.2% | +4.9% | +7.0% |
| 2024-05-14 beat | 3.61 | 3.63 | +0.6% | -1.7% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +2.2% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 2.77 | 2.82 | +1.6% | -1.9% | +0.1% | +3.6% | +6.0% |
| 2023-11-14 beat | 3.76 | 3.81 | +1.4% | +4.5% | +5.4% | +0.6% | +15.9% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 4.44 | 4.65 | +4.7% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -2.3% | -0.8% |
| 2023-05-16 beat | 3.80 | 3.82 | +0.5% | -2.4% | -2.2% | +4.5% | +7.0% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 3.29 | 3.30 | +0.4% | -3.9% | -7.1% | +0.4% | -4.4% |
| 2022-11-15 beat | 4.12 | 4.24 | +3.0% | -0.9% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +5.0% |
| 2022-08-16 beat | 4.93 | 5.05 | +2.4% | -0.5% | +4.1% | -6.3% | -17.1% |
| 2022-05-17 beat | 3.69 | 4.09 | +10.8% | +3.6% | +1.7% | -4.3% | -9.1% |
| 2022-02-22 beat | 3.18 | 3.21 | +0.9% | -3.4% | -8.9% | +1.3% | +0.3% |
| 2021-11-16 beat | 3.40 | 3.92 | +15.3% | +2.9% | +5.7% | +4.1% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.