HE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.1% | -2.8% | 6.8% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.4% | 2.2% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.1% | 2.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | +0.4% | 8.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -23.5% | -2.0% | -5.8% | +1.1% | -11.6% |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 0.28 | 0.18 | -35.5% | -0.4% | -6.1% | -3.9% | -6.2% |
| 2026-02-27 | 0.24 | 0.24 | — | +0.3% | +3.2% | -5.3% | -7.2% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +2.7% | -0.9% | -3.2% | +4.2% | +7.1% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.07 | 0.20 | +189.9% | +0.3% | -2.3% | +5.7% | +9.8% |
| 2025-05-09 miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -34.8% | +1.9% | +1.9% | +0.0% | +0.8% |
| 2025-02-21 miss | 0.40 | 0.20 | -49.4% | -3.1% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
| 2024-11-08 miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -12.4% | -2.3% | -6.3% | +6.6% | +2.5% |
| 2024-08-09 miss | 0.49 | 0.44 | -10.2% | -21.8% | -14.5% | -7.8% | -14.9% |
| 2024-05-10 miss | 0.54 | 0.38 | -29.6% | +0.6% | +10.0% | +2.0% | -7.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.