HE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.6% | -0.3% | 5.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 2.7% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 43% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | +0.3% | 12.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 miss | 0.17 | 0.13 | -23.5% | -2.0% | -5.8% | +1.1% | -11.6% |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 0.28 | 0.18 | -35.5% | -0.4% | -6.1% | -3.9% | -6.2% |
| 2026-02-27 | 0.24 | 0.24 | — | +0.3% | +3.2% | -5.3% | -7.2% |
| 2025-11-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +2.7% | -0.9% | -3.2% | +4.2% | +7.1% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.07 | 0.20 | +189.9% | +0.3% | -2.3% | +5.7% | +9.8% |
| 2025-05-09 miss | 0.23 | 0.15 | -34.8% | +1.9% | +1.9% | +0.0% | +0.8% |
| 2025-02-21 miss | 0.40 | 0.20 | -49.4% | -3.1% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
| 2024-11-08 miss | 0.53 | 0.46 | -12.4% | -2.3% | -6.3% | +6.6% | +2.5% |
| 2024-08-09 miss | 0.49 | 0.44 | -10.2% | -21.8% | -14.5% | -7.8% | -14.9% |
| 2024-05-10 miss | 0.54 | 0.38 | -29.6% | +0.6% | +10.0% | +2.0% | -7.6% |
| 2024-02-13 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -2.0% | -0.4% | -4.9% | +2.2% | -10.5% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +4.3% | -9.4% | -17.1% | +19.8% | +14.7% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 0.55 | 0.50 | -9.1% | -1.9% | -4.8% | -58.4% | -65.1% |
| 2023-05-09 miss | 0.53 | 0.50 | -6.1% | -1.4% | -2.5% | -2.6% | +1.5% |
| 2023-02-14 miss | 0.55 | 0.52 | -5.0% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -9.3% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +5.6% | +0.6% | -1.4% | +4.0% | +8.7% |
| 2022-08-08 miss | 0.52 | 0.48 | -6.8% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +3.3% | -6.5% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.45 | 0.63 | +41.6% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +2.9% |
| 2022-02-14 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +19.8% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2021-11-05 miss | 0.62 | 0.58 | -6.0% | +0.6% | +0.4% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 0.49 | 0.58 | +19.0% | -0.4% | +0.3% | +2.5% | -2.4% |
| 2021-05-07 beat | 0.40 | 0.59 | +45.7% | +0.0% | +4.0% | -1.3% | -3.9% |
| 2021-02-16 beat | 0.35 | 0.45 | +27.0% | +0.3% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +17.5% |
| 2020-11-06 beat | 0.49 | 0.59 | +19.8% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +12.5% | +10.3% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.36 | 0.45 | +24.5% | +1.6% | +0.3% | +1.7% | -2.1% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.45 | 0.31 | -31.8% | -1.3% | -0.7% | -3.3% | +2.2% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.51 | 0.61 | +18.8% | +0.4% | +2.5% | +0.0% | -11.8% |
| 2019-11-01 miss | 0.60 | 0.58 | -2.7% | +0.2% | +0.0% | -3.8% | -3.6% |
| 2019-08-02 miss | 0.43 | 0.39 | -10.0% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +0.1% | +2.1% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +9.9% | +0.6% | +0.8% | -0.1% | +2.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.