HLF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.8% | +0.6% | 17.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +2.4% | +2.7% | 4.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -1.2% | -0.5% | 4.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +7.1% | +7.8% | 21.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -4.9% | -8.3% | -8.7% | +5.7% | +7.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.4% | +1.7% | -11.9% | -10.1% | -21.7% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -5.6% | +14.8% | +18.3% | -1.5% | -24.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.4% | +3.2% | +11.7% | +2.5% | +28.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +18.6% | -3.7% | -6.8% | +8.5% | +14.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.41 | 0.59 | +44.9% | -7.5% | -7.9% | +5.4% | +16.1% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.22 | 0.36 | +64.0% | +28.6% | +42.7% | +3.0% | +5.1% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.57 | +89.4% | +7.0% | +10.9% | +10.9% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.39 | 0.54 | +37.1% | -3.0% | -8.6% | -18.8% | -27.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.49 | +34.2% | +10.1% | +8.1% | +12.8% | +10.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.