HLF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | -1.4% | 13.9% | 37% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | -0.5% | 5.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.3% | 3.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -3.8% | 17.0% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.54 | 0.51 | -4.9% | -8.3% | -8.7% | +5.7% | +7.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +5.4% | +1.7% | -11.9% | -10.1% | -21.7% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -5.6% | +14.8% | +18.3% | -1.5% | -24.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +8.4% | +3.2% | +11.7% | +2.5% | +28.5% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +18.6% | -3.7% | -6.8% | +8.5% | +14.6% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.41 | 0.59 | +44.9% | -7.5% | -7.9% | +5.4% | +16.1% |
| 2025-02-19 beat | 0.22 | 0.36 | +64.0% | +28.6% | +42.7% | +3.0% | +5.1% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.30 | 0.57 | +89.4% | +7.0% | +10.9% | +10.9% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.39 | 0.54 | +37.1% | -3.0% | -8.6% | -18.8% | -27.3% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.37 | 0.49 | +34.2% | +10.1% | +8.1% | +12.8% | +10.8% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | 0.39 | 0.28 | -29.1% | -23.0% | -31.7% | +8.0% | +11.8% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 0.73 | 0.65 | -10.7% | +1.4% | -0.1% | -6.8% | -6.8% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.8% | +4.4% | +16.8% | -6.8% | -17.8% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.62 | 0.54 | -13.3% | -0.4% | -3.2% | -0.1% | -9.8% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 0.34 | 0.53 | +57.0% | +5.6% | +22.5% | -9.3% | -20.0% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +14.2% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -21.9% | -17.1% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.63 | 0.96 | +52.0% | +3.9% | +13.6% | +3.3% | -4.3% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +9.8% | -12.9% | -6.2% | -16.9% | -15.0% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 0.64 | 0.57 | -11.0% | -12.6% | -14.4% | +5.4% | -10.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 1.06 | 1.21 | +14.6% | +1.1% | -1.1% | -5.5% | -14.6% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.28 | 1.52 | +19.1% | -1.8% | -6.1% | +2.2% | +9.1% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.08 | 1.42 | +31.2% | +4.4% | +5.8% | +3.1% | +16.9% |
| 2021-02-17 miss | 0.82 | 0.71 | -13.6% | -5.0% | -10.2% | -10.1% | -8.1% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.87 | 1.15 | +32.8% | +2.1% | -1.0% | -4.8% | +1.9% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.83 | 0.95 | +14.1% | -5.0% | -5.0% | -4.7% | -2.1% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.61 | 0.83 | +36.9% | +10.0% | +11.5% | -3.0% | +7.9% |
| 2020-02-18 beat | 0.64 | 0.74 | +16.0% | +6.5% | -0.9% | -13.8% | -24.2% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.73 | 0.73 | +0.2% | +3.9% | +11.7% | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.76 | 0.70 | -8.2% | -7.5% | -6.8% | -0.2% | -10.5% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 0.68 | 0.66 | -2.8% | -5.3% | -4.5% | -4.7% | -14.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.