HLI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +1.2% | 5.4% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +0.7% | 6.8% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 1.64 | 1.35 | -17.7% | -13.6% | -7.7% | -0.6% | +3.6% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 1.79 | 1.63 | -8.8% | -0.2% | +4.3% | -1.7% | -10.7% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.87 | 1.94 | +3.6% | -2.3% | -6.5% | -0.5% | -3.1% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.68 | 1.84 | +9.3% | +0.4% | -10.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.68 | 2.14 | +27.6% | +0.7% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.62 | 1.96 | +20.8% | +4.6% | +6.6% | +2.9% | +0.5% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 1.52 | 1.64 | +8.1% | -1.2% | -2.3% | +2.0% | -3.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.31 | 1.46 | +11.4% | +4.1% | +4.9% | +6.3% | +8.2% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -4.1% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 1.23 | 1.27 | +3.6% | +0.8% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +6.8% | +5.5% | +4.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +7.5% | +6.7% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.02 | 0.89 | -13.2% | -10.0% | -6.5% | +1.0% | +4.6% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.93 | 1.11 | +18.9% | +6.6% | +5.3% | -2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.6% | -2.6% | -1.6% | -0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.03 | 1.19 | +16.0% | +4.4% | +7.8% | +3.8% | +7.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.94 | 1.10 | +16.5% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +1.3% | -6.6% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.3% | +1.8% | +1.6% | -0.8% | -6.0% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.17 | 2.90 | +33.4% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +3.1% | -10.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.71 | +45.8% | +7.9% | +10.0% | +3.9% | -3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.