HLI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.2% | 4.6% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.3% | 2.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +0.7% | 5.9% | 59% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 1.64 | 1.35 | -17.7% | -13.6% | -7.7% | -0.6% | +3.6% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 1.79 | 1.63 | -8.8% | -0.2% | +4.3% | -1.7% | -10.7% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.87 | 1.94 | +3.6% | -2.3% | -6.5% | -0.5% | -3.1% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.68 | 1.84 | +9.3% | +0.4% | -10.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.68 | 2.14 | +27.6% | +0.7% | -0.2% | +0.3% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.62 | 1.96 | +20.8% | +4.6% | +6.6% | +2.9% | +0.5% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 1.52 | 1.64 | +8.1% | -1.2% | -2.3% | +2.0% | -3.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.31 | 1.46 | +11.4% | +4.1% | +4.9% | +6.3% | +8.2% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.3% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -4.1% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 1.23 | 1.27 | +3.6% | +0.8% | +1.3% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.14 | 1.22 | +6.8% | +5.5% | +4.1% | +0.0% | -1.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.03 | 1.11 | +8.0% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +7.5% | +6.7% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 1.02 | 0.89 | -13.2% | -10.0% | -6.5% | +1.0% | +4.6% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.93 | 1.11 | +18.9% | +6.6% | +5.3% | -2.3% | +0.3% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.6% | -2.6% | -1.6% | -0.2% | -1.9% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.03 | 1.19 | +16.0% | +4.4% | +7.8% | +3.8% | +7.2% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.94 | 1.10 | +16.5% | +0.2% | -0.8% | +1.3% | -6.6% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.3% | +1.8% | +1.6% | -0.8% | -6.0% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 2.17 | 2.90 | +33.4% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +3.1% | -10.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.17 | 1.71 | +45.8% | +7.9% | +10.0% | +3.9% | -3.2% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 1.11 | 1.19 | +7.5% | -0.1% | -7.0% | +5.7% | +8.1% |
| 2021-05-11 beat | 1.14 | 1.51 | +32.4% | +0.3% | +6.8% | +4.3% | +13.2% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.98 | 1.77 | +81.0% | +4.6% | -4.2% | +2.1% | -0.7% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.55 | 0.75 | +36.2% | +0.8% | -0.6% | +1.9% | +5.1% |
| 2020-07-28 miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -1.5% | +0.4% | -1.6% | +3.9% | +7.8% |
| 2020-05-12 beat | 0.77 | 0.96 | +24.0% | -0.4% | +1.9% | -2.5% | -6.1% |
| 2020-02-03 beat | 0.77 | 0.88 | +13.8% | +7.8% | +6.2% | +2.0% | -8.7% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.4% | -2.2% | +0.5% | +2.1% | +4.5% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.55 | 0.67 | +21.2% | +2.1% | +5.5% | -5.4% | -8.5% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.69 | 0.86 | +24.7% | +5.7% | +4.0% | -2.3% | -5.5% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 0.70 | 0.77 | +9.7% | +5.9% | +3.1% | -1.5% | +4.8% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +8.4% | +4.4% | +0.8% | +4.3% | +4.3% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 0.60 | 0.55 | -8.2% | -3.1% | -6.8% | -2.4% | -3.1% |
| 2018-05-09 beat | 0.58 | 0.65 | +12.1% | +3.6% | +4.1% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2018-01-29 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +12.5% | +1.0% | -2.3% | -8.3% | -9.0% |
| 2017-10-24 beat | 0.42 | 0.56 | +34.4% | +5.3% | +3.5% | -3.7% | +2.2% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +19.8% | +2.6% | +1.7% | -5.1% | -6.8% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.46 | 0.59 | +28.1% | +3.0% | +5.9% | -6.2% | -6.0% |
| 2017-02-01 beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +13.8% | +5.0% | +3.6% | -9.2% | -1.6% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.4% | +0.0% | -2.1% | +2.2% | +23.5% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | +1.9% | +3.4% | +5.9% | +2.5% |
| 2016-05-18 miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -5.4% | -0.1% | -2.0% | +6.7% | +4.6% |
| 2016-02-08 miss | 0.49 | 0.47 | -3.4% | -5.5% | -0.5% | +3.5% | +6.4% |
| 2015-11-03 beat | 0.26 | 0.28 | +8.5% | +3.4% | -0.7% | +1.3% | +10.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.