HLIO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +8.0% | +6.9% | 10.3% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -1.3% | 3.5% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +6.7% | +4.9% | 15.1% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +9.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -16.0% |
| 2026-05-11 beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.1% | +9.7% | +14.0% | +0.5% | +7.8% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.7% | +2.8% | -4.5% | -7.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +9.8% | -6.4% | -2.0% | -4.2% | -2.4% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +17.4% | +20.6% | +31.1% | +5.0% | +13.3% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +21.6% | +6.9% | +7.4% | +14.2% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -4.6% | +8.4% | +7.1% | -13.1% | -18.0% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +8.5% | +5.0% | +14.7% | -9.3% | -8.5% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.6% | +1.3% | +6.4% | -0.6% | -7.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +19.4% | -0.9% | +6.8% | +2.5% | -7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.