HLIO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +3.8% | 10.0% | 63% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 3.7% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +2.3% | 12.0% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 0.80 | 0.88 | +9.6% | +0.6% | -0.6% | -2.0% | -16.0% |
| 2026-05-11 beat | 0.69 | 0.80 | +16.1% | +9.7% | +14.0% | +0.5% | +7.8% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.72 | 0.81 | +12.7% | +2.8% | -4.5% | -7.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +9.8% | -6.4% | -2.0% | -4.2% | -2.4% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.50 | 0.59 | +17.4% | +20.6% | +31.1% | +5.0% | +13.3% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +21.6% | +6.9% | +7.4% | +14.2% | +10.9% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -4.6% | +8.4% | +7.1% | -13.1% | -18.0% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +8.5% | +5.0% | +14.7% | -9.3% | -8.5% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 0.61 | 0.64 | +4.6% | +1.3% | +6.4% | -0.6% | -7.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.44 | 0.53 | +19.4% | -0.9% | +6.8% | +2.5% | -7.7% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.27 | 0.38 | +40.7% | +8.9% | +5.6% | -8.4% | -8.9% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.70 | 0.44 | -37.5% | -10.4% | -16.7% | -6.3% | -10.1% |
| 2023-08-07 miss | 0.84 | 0.81 | -3.6% | -15.0% | -12.2% | +6.1% | +4.0% |
| 2023-05-08 miss | 0.77 | 0.72 | -6.5% | -4.3% | -7.9% | -7.2% | +9.0% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.4% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +4.5% | -4.5% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.97 | 0.90 | -7.5% | -6.9% | -10.8% | +6.8% | +5.5% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +1.2% | -9.2% | -13.0% | +13.0% | -8.5% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.96 | 1.18 | +22.4% | -0.7% | -2.3% | +4.5% | +8.6% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.82 | 1.01 | +22.6% | +0.0% | -6.7% | -3.2% | +6.7% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.80 | 1.07 | +33.8% | +7.2% | +11.8% | +3.6% | -3.4% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 0.86 | 1.20 | +39.5% | +3.8% | +6.4% | -3.7% | -0.2% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.75 | 0.99 | +32.7% | -5.0% | +1.2% | -1.3% | -5.0% |
| 2021-03-01 beat | 0.41 | 0.60 | +45.5% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +6.8% | +5.8% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.41 | 0.53 | +29.8% | +1.5% | +4.1% | +9.4% | +12.7% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.27 | 0.55 | +103.7% | +3.0% | +3.4% | +9.6% | +7.9% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.40 | 0.56 | +38.5% | +9.9% | +6.5% | -4.9% | +9.3% |
| 2020-02-24 beat | 0.35 | 0.54 | +52.4% | +10.0% | +5.5% | -1.2% | -15.0% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.58 | 0.61 | +4.8% | -5.8% | +11.7% | -1.6% | -6.0% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 0.64 | 0.54 | -16.0% | +0.6% | +11.6% | -5.2% | -1.8% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | 0.63 | 0.53 | -15.7% | -1.2% | -7.2% | -3.9% | -2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.