HP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.4% | -4.2% | 8.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.0% | 3.4% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.8% | +1.2% | 4.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -2.8% | 14.1% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.10 | -0.11 | -210.5% | +6.7% | +11.4% | +16.2% | +19.7% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.04 | -0.38 | -840.4% | -6.2% | -7.4% | +6.7% | +6.1% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 0.11 | -0.15 | -241.9% | -6.3% | -5.2% | -4.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-17 miss | 0.26 | -0.01 | -103.8% | -8.7% | -3.8% | +3.8% | +4.2% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +3.1% | +5.8% | +3.2% | +14.8% | +25.4% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.62 | 0.02 | -96.8% | -5.2% | -3.5% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.3% | -10.1% | -16.5% | -1.6% | -8.3% |
| 2024-11-13 miss | 0.82 | 0.76 | -7.2% | -4.7% | -6.2% | +1.4% | -2.8% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.92 | +19.7% | +1.5% | +8.8% | -6.2% | -18.5% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -2.1% | -5.9% | -4.7% | -6.5% | -8.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.