HP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -1.5% | 8.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.3% | 3.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.0% | 3.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -2.6% | 12.8% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.10 | -0.11 | -210.5% | +6.7% | +11.4% | +16.2% | +19.7% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | -0.04 | -0.38 | -840.4% | -6.2% | -7.4% | +6.7% | +6.1% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 0.11 | -0.15 | -241.9% | -6.3% | -5.2% | -4.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-17 miss | 0.26 | -0.01 | -103.8% | -8.7% | -3.8% | +3.8% | +4.2% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +3.1% | +5.8% | +3.2% | +14.8% | +25.4% |
| 2025-05-07 miss | 0.62 | 0.02 | -96.8% | -5.2% | -3.5% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.3% | -10.1% | -16.5% | -1.6% | -8.3% |
| 2024-11-13 miss | 0.82 | 0.76 | -7.2% | -4.7% | -6.2% | +1.4% | -2.8% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.92 | +19.7% | +1.5% | +8.8% | -6.2% | -18.5% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -2.1% | -5.9% | -4.7% | -6.5% | -8.1% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.71 | 0.97 | +36.2% | +6.7% | +12.0% | -5.2% | -5.5% |
| 2023-11-08 miss | 0.74 | 0.69 | -7.1% | +2.5% | -2.3% | -0.5% | -3.2% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.90 | 1.09 | +21.3% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +0.5% | -9.6% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.04 | 1.26 | +20.8% | -2.4% | -3.7% | -6.1% | -1.8% |
| 2023-01-30 beat | 0.81 | 1.11 | +36.4% | +0.8% | -0.3% | -5.7% | -7.2% |
| 2022-11-16 miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -3.0% | -3.8% | +0.6% | -3.1% | -10.1% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.09 | 0.27 | +216.4% | +2.1% | -0.7% | -11.9% | +2.2% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | -0.26 | -0.17 | +33.9% | +0.7% | +10.7% | +2.4% | +9.3% |
| 2022-01-31 beat | -0.47 | -0.45 | +5.1% | +3.0% | +5.9% | +7.3% | +27.1% |
| 2021-11-17 miss | -0.51 | -0.62 | -21.8% | -7.6% | -16.5% | -10.6% | -13.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.