HRL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.5% | -1.5% | 7.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +0.9% | 1.5% | 90% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.9% | -1.8% | 7.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.6% | -3.0% | -10.2% | +1.9% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +12.9% | +9.6% | +12.5% | -1.3% | +11.5% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.1% | +1.5% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -7.1% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.0% | +7.9% | +3.8% | -1.9% | -5.4% |
| 2025-08-28 miss | 0.41 | 0.35 | -14.6% | -14.6% | -13.1% | +1.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.3% | -2.4% | +1.1% | +1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -6.6% | -0.6% | -1.2% | +2.2% | +7.0% |
| 2024-12-04 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -1.2% | -2.5% | +0.5% | +3.6% | -4.1% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +1.4% | -9.9% | -6.4% | +1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.8% | -1.2% | -9.7% | +0.3% | -1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.