HRL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -2.0% | 6.3% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 2.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -0.1% | 7.0% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +4.6% | -3.0% | -10.2% | +1.9% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +12.9% | +9.6% | +12.5% | -1.3% | +11.5% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +6.1% | +1.5% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -7.1% |
| 2025-12-04 beat | 0.30 | 0.32 | +6.0% | +7.9% | +3.8% | -1.9% | -5.4% |
| 2025-08-28 miss | 0.41 | 0.35 | -14.6% | -14.6% | -13.1% | +1.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-05-29 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.3% | -2.4% | +1.1% | +1.1% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-27 miss | 0.37 | 0.35 | -6.6% | -0.6% | -1.2% | +2.2% | +7.0% |
| 2024-12-04 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -1.2% | -2.5% | +0.5% | +3.6% | -4.1% |
| 2024-09-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +1.4% | -9.9% | -6.4% | +1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2024-05-30 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +6.8% | -1.2% | -9.7% | +0.3% | -1.2% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 0.34 | 0.41 | +20.4% | +12.7% | +14.6% | -3.8% | -1.0% |
| 2023-11-29 miss | 0.45 | 0.42 | -6.7% | -1.3% | -4.6% | +4.7% | +5.4% |
| 2023-08-31 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.8% | -0.3% | -2.7% | -3.8% | -2.7% |
| 2023-06-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.8% | +5.0% | +5.1% | +1.1% | +1.0% |
| 2023-03-02 miss | 0.45 | 0.40 | -11.9% | -2.8% | -4.6% | -5.0% | -4.7% |
| 2022-11-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.1% | -0.7% | -2.5% | +1.3% | -3.1% |
| 2022-09-01 miss | 0.41 | 0.40 | -2.7% | -5.6% | -6.6% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
| 2022-06-02 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.3% | -1.3% | -5.2% | -1.0% | +4.0% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +0.2% | +1.2% | +4.0% | +1.5% | +4.0% |
| 2021-12-09 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +2.4% | +0.1% | +4.7% | +9.8% | +11.3% |
| 2021-09-02 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.9% | -3.4% | -4.6% | -2.9% | -5.3% |
| 2021-05-20 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +2.7% | +2.3% | +7.4% | -1.5% | -3.1% |
| 2021-02-18 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.7% | +0.1% | +1.1% | -0.7% | +1.0% |
| 2020-11-24 miss | 0.45 | 0.43 | -4.5% | -1.5% | -5.6% | -0.5% | -0.1% |
| 2020-08-25 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +3.2% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -1.6% | -6.3% |
| 2020-05-21 miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -1.8% | -0.2% | -4.1% | +6.1% | +5.2% |
| 2020-02-20 miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -1.2% | -3.1% | -6.0% | -6.6% | -0.9% |
| 2019-11-26 beat | 0.47 | 0.47 | +0.7% | +0.4% | +3.6% | +2.2% | +2.2% |
| 2019-08-22 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +2.5% | +3.1% | +4.8% | -1.2% | -0.8% |
| 2019-05-23 beat | 0.45 | 0.46 | +3.4% | -5.0% | -0.9% | +0.9% | +7.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.