HY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -3.2% | 12.9% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.7% | +1.3% | 4.5% | 80% |
| Day 3 | -2.6% | -1.6% | 3.7% | 20% |
| 5-day | -6.2% | -11.7% | 14.1% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | -1.13 | -1.64 | -45.1% | +1.1% | +15.2% | -15.4% | -15.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | -1.80 | -1.64 | +8.9% | +2.6% | -7.7% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-03-03 miss | -1.23 | -2.06 | -67.5% | -4.4% | -1.8% | -14.1% | -14.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | -0.14 | -0.09 | +35.7% | -1.6% | -1.4% | -12.6% | -0.8% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.60 | -0.79 | -232.8% | -9.2% | -12.4% | +2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -2.0% | -4.7% | -4.6% | +10.2% | +6.7% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.40 | 1.47 | +5.4% | +1.0% | +2.8% | -15.7% | -16.5% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.99 | 0.97 | -51.3% | -11.5% | -14.7% | -1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 2.28 | 3.58 | +57.0% | +0.1% | -16.4% | +0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 2.49 | 2.93 | +17.7% | +8.6% | +23.6% | +4.5% | +2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.