HY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.4% | -1.6% | 11.0% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 5.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.7% | 4.1% | 57% |
| 5-day | -2.4% | -7.2% | 13.8% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | -1.13 | -1.64 | -45.1% | +1.1% | +15.2% | -15.4% | -15.7% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | -1.80 | -1.64 | +8.9% | +2.6% | -7.7% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-03-03 miss | -1.23 | -2.06 | -67.5% | -4.4% | -1.8% | -14.1% | -14.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | -0.14 | -0.09 | +35.7% | -1.6% | -1.4% | -12.6% | -0.8% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.60 | -0.79 | -232.8% | -9.2% | -12.4% | +2.8% | +1.9% |
| 2025-05-06 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -2.0% | -4.7% | -4.6% | +10.2% | +6.7% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 1.40 | 1.47 | +5.4% | +1.0% | +2.8% | -15.7% | -16.5% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.99 | 0.97 | -51.3% | -11.5% | -14.7% | -1.3% | +4.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 2.28 | 3.58 | +57.0% | +0.1% | -16.4% | +0.8% | -1.8% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 2.49 | 2.93 | +17.7% | +8.6% | +23.6% | +4.5% | +2.0% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | 1.75 | 1.43 | -18.3% | +0.0% | -16.8% | +1.4% | +10.0% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 0.50 | 2.06 | +312.0% | +6.1% | +5.2% | +5.4% | +16.1% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.77 | 2.21 | +187.0% | +4.0% | +6.9% | -4.7% | -10.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.38 | 1.55 | +313.3% | +3.5% | -8.0% | +5.5% | +2.8% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | -0.22 | 0.44 | +295.6% | +7.2% | +19.5% | +18.9% | +25.4% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | -2.08 | -2.20 | -5.8% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +0.4% | +4.3% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | -1.85 | -1.15 | +38.0% | +6.2% | +1.3% | -8.5% | -20.5% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | -3.05 | -1.48 | +51.5% | +3.0% | +11.2% | -7.4% | +10.6% |
| 2022-02-28 miss | -1.05 | -2.84 | -170.0% | -1.5% | -12.0% | +6.2% | +1.7% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | -0.43 | -1.71 | -298.2% | -6.4% | -12.6% | +4.3% | -14.9% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 0.40 | 0.11 | -72.5% | -6.6% | -12.3% | +0.0% | -1.8% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | 0.58 | 0.33 | -43.1% | -7.2% | -6.0% | -3.4% | +0.8% |
| 2021-02-24 beat | 0.52 | 1.02 | +96.0% | +0.9% | -13.3% | +3.6% | +5.9% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | -0.18 | 0.30 | +266.7% | +1.2% | +10.4% | +1.5% | +18.2% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -0.02 | 0.21 | +1150.0% | +0.0% | +7.5% | +7.2% | -5.2% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.09 | 0.91 | +911.1% | +2.2% | -6.1% | -2.1% | +31.0% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 0.98 | 0.20 | -79.6% | +8.9% | +1.8% | -8.8% | -17.1% |
| 2019-10-29 miss | 0.80 | 0.76 | -5.0% | -4.7% | -1.5% | +7.3% | +14.7% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.24 | 0.82 | +241.7% | +7.8% | +11.6% | -6.4% | -12.4% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.06 | 0.20 | +233.3% | -2.9% | -11.4% | -6.9% | -25.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.